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Data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS JOLTs Job Openings climbed to 7.27M in July 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsMonthlyReleased September 2026
US JOLTs Job Openings climbed to 7.27M in July 2026, released September 2026, up 0.09M from June's 7.18M reading. The reading matched the 7.3M consensus. JOLTs Job Openings has now declined for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, JOLTs Job Openings averaged 7.48M, vs 7.08M in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 39th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
7.271
Actual
7.3
Consensus
7.182
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.28 million
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 7.36
Actual: 7.27
Error: +0.09
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.39 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| MSFT | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | STOCKS | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
JOLTs Job Openings (United States) was reported at 7.27 million in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 7.30 million by 0.03 million. The reading rose from the previous value of 7.18 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 7.22 million, ranging from 6.54 million to 7.66 million across 10 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 7.41 million, up from the prior three at 7.15 million. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.34 million) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.29 million). In September readings over the past 3 years, JOLTs Job Openings has averaged 7.34 million.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.28 million.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 29, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep 15) and NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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JOLTs Job Openings - US
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About JOLTs Job Openings — United States
DEFINITION
JOLTs Job Openings is a financial indicator that measures the number of job openings in the United States. It provides valuable insights into the strength of the job market and the demand for labor. This data is collected and published monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, making it a reliable and timely source of information for investors, policymakers, and businesses. JOLTs Job Openings is a key indicator for understanding the current state and future outlook of the US economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Labor-market data shapes consumer-spending forecasts and is closely tracked by central banks assessing the output gap and wage-inflation pass-through. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 7.271 M, consensus 7.3 M. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 7.359 M. Before that (May 2026): 7.594 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.8 | 3.809 | 3.81 | Low | |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 20.6 | 15 | 10.85 | High | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | -0.6 | 0.9 | 0.90 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | -0.3 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 5.9 | 6 | 6.35 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 5 | 4.3 | 4.30 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | -1.3 | -0.5 | -0.45 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0.65 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | 8.2 | 7.5 | 7.90 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 35 | 34 | 33.50 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 4 | 4.00 | High | |
| 20:00 | US | Net Long-Term TIC Flows | 172.7 | 146.3 | 146.30 | Medium | |