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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Kansas Fed Composite Index climbed to 10 in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
US Kansas Fed Composite Index climbed to 10 in August 2026, up 1 from July's 9 reading. The print exceeded the 8 consensus by 2. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 6.25. Over the past 3 months, Kansas Fed Composite Index averaged 10, vs 9.67 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 87th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
10
Actual
8
Consensus
9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.33
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 9.25
Actual: 10
Error: -0.75
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.78 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| MSFT | ▼ Inverse | −0.51 | STOCKS | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| GOOGL | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | STOCKS | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.25 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Kansas Fed Composite Index (United States) was reported at 10.00 in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 8.00 by 2.00. The reading rose from the previous value of 9.00. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 7.30, ranging from 1.00 to 11.00 across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 10.00, up from the prior three at 8.00. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.10) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.43). In August readings over the past 3 years, Kansas Fed Composite Index has averaged 2.67.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with MSFT, negatively correlated (Bearish MSFT). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.33.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 24, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep 15) and NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Kansas Fed Composite Index - US
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About Kansas Fed Composite Index — United States
DEFINITION
The Kansas Fed Composite Index is a key economic indicator that measures the overall health and performance of the economy in the state of Kansas. It takes into account various factors such as employment, production, and sales to provide a comprehensive view of the state's economic activity. This index is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses as it can provide valuable insights into the current and future economic conditions in Kansas.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 10, consensus 8. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 9. Before that (Jun 2026): 11.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.78) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.8 | 3.809 | 3.81 | Low | |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 20.6 | 15 | 10.85 | High | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | -0.4 | -0.1 | -0.10 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | -0.3 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 5.9 | 6 | 6.35 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 5 | 4.3 | 4.30 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | -1.3 | -0.5 | -0.45 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0.65 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | 8.2 | 7.5 | 7.90 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 35 | 34 | 33.50 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | -0.5 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 18:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 4 | 4.00 | High | |
| 20:00 | US | Net Long-Term TIC Flows | 172.7 | 146.3 | 146.30 | Medium | |