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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index climbed to 19 in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
US Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index climbed to 19 in June 2026, up 10 from May's 9 reading. The print exceeded the 7 consensus by 12. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 5.5. Over the past 3 months, Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index averaged 9.5, vs 10.5 in the prior 3-month window. Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index is now the highest in 37 months.
Latest Release
19
Actual
7
Consensus
9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±9.29
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 7
Actual: 19
Error: -12
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.66 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| MSFT | ▼ Inverse | −0.52 | STOCKS | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| AAPL | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | STOCKS | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index (United States) was reported at 19.00 in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 7.00 by 12.00. The reading rose from the previous value of 9.00. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 8.00, ranging from -3.00 to 19.00 across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 13.00, up from the prior three at 8.33. Volatility over the past year (σ 7.78) is comparable than the prior year (σ 7.10). In June readings over the past 3 years, Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index has averaged 4.33.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with MSFT, negatively correlated (Bearish MSFT). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 9.29.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Import Prices MoM (Jul 17) and Building Permits (Jul 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index - US
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About Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index — United States
DEFINITION
The Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index is a key economic indicator that measures the overall health and performance of the manufacturing sector in the state of Kansas. It is based on a monthly survey of manufacturing executives and provides valuable insights into the current and future trends of production, new orders, employment, and other important factors. This index is widely used by economists, policymakers, and investors to assess the strength of the Kansas economy and make informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 19, consensus 7. Prior reading (May 2026): 9. Before that (Apr 2026): 10.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.66) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Friday, July 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 6.7 | 5.4 | 5.40 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Housing Starts | 1.177 | 1.2 | 1.20 | High | |
| 13:15 | US | Industrial Production YoY | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.95 | Low | |
| 13:15 | US | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.4 | 1 | 0.25 | Low | |
| 13:15 | US | Capacity Utilization | 76.2 | 76.7 | 76.40 | Low | |