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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Michigan Current Conditions climbed to 48.4 in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
US Michigan Current Conditions climbed to 48.4 in June 2026, up 2.6 from May's 45.8 reading. The reading matched the 46.2 consensus. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 52.44. Over the past 3 months, Michigan Current Conditions averaged 50.4, vs 55.1 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 7th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
48.4
Actual
46.2
Consensus
45.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.12
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 45.68
Actual: 48.4
Error: -2.72
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| AAPL | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | STOCKS | Bearish AAPL | → View |
| MSFT | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | STOCKS | Bullish MSFT | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Michigan Current Conditions (United States) was reported at 48.40 in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 46.20 by 2.20. The reading rose from the previous value of 45.80. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 57.41, ranging from 45.80 to 68.00 across 19 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 50.00, down from the prior three at 57.57. Volatility over the past year (σ 6.08) is comparable than the prior year (σ 5.68). In June readings over the past 3 years, Michigan Current Conditions has averaged 63.19.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.12.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include NAHB Housing Market Index (Jun 15) and Building Permits MoM (Jun 16).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Michigan Current Conditions - US
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About Michigan Current Conditions — United States
DEFINITION
Index The Michigan Current Conditions Index is a comprehensive financial indicator that measures the current economic state of Michigan. It takes into account various factors such as employment rates, consumer spending, and business activity to provide a clear and accurate assessment of the state's economic health. This index is widely used by businesses, policymakers, and investors to make informed decisions and gain valuable insights into the current economic conditions in Michigan.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 48.4, consensus 46.2. Prior reading (May 2026): 45.8. Before that (May 2026): 47.8.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.