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Data from Financial Modeling Prep. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesNonfarm Payrolls Private fell to 123 in April 2026
Financial Modeling PrepMonthlyReleased May 2026
Nonfarm Payrolls Private fell to 123 in April 2026, down 67 from March's 190 reading. The print exceeded the 75 consensus by 48. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 104.33. Over the past 3 months, Nonfarm Payrolls Private averaged 90.67, vs 67.67 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 48th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
123
Actual
75
Consensus
190
Previous
The May 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 190. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/CAD (Bullish USD) and positively correlated with USD/CHF (Bullish USD).
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Nonfarm Payrolls Private - US
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, May 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | US | Existing Home Sales MoM | 0.2 | -2.9 | 2.1 | 0.38 | Medium |
| 14:00 | US | Existing Home Sales | 4.02 | 4.01 | 4.05 | 3.97 | High |
| Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 95.9 | 95.8 | 96.1 | 95.92 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | CPI s.a | 332.407 | 330.293 | 331.9 | 332.15 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.35 | High |
| 12:30 | US | CPI | 333.02 | 330.21 | 332.3 | 332.66 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.8 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 3.75 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.60 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.75 | High |
| 12:30 | US | CPI MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.35 | High |
| 12:30 | US | CPI YoY | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.75 | Medium |
| 18:00 | US | Monthly Budget Statement | 215 | -164 | 220 | 217.50 | Medium |
| 18:00 | US | Budget Balance | 215 | -164 | 157.2 | 171.55 | Medium |
| 20:30 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -8.1 | -1.65 | -1.65 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index | 154.006 | 154.6 | 154.60 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.30 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | 4 | 4.9 | 4.90 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | -2.504 | -2.55 | -2.55 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -2.314 | -1.6 | -1.60 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -1.294 | -2.99 | -2.99 | Low | |