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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Participation Rate fell to 61.8 in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
US Participation Rate fell to 61.8 in April 2026, released May 2026, down 0.1 from March's 61.9 reading. The reading matched the 61.7 consensus. Participation Rate has now declined for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Participation Rate averaged 62.13, vs 62.4 in the prior 3-month window. Participation Rate is now the lowest in 39 months.
Latest Release
61.8
Actual
61.7
Consensus
61.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.2 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 62.5
Actual: 62
Error: +0.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CAD | ▲ Direct | +0.54 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Bullish NZD | → View |
| GOOGL | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | STOCKS | Bullish GOOGL | → View |
| AAPL | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | STOCKS | Bearish AAPL | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The May 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 61.9. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.2. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/CAD (Bullish USD) and positively correlated with NZD/USD (Bullish NZD).
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Participation Rate - US
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