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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Producer Price Index climbed to 157.66 in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
US Producer Price Index climbed to 157.66 in May 2026, released June 2026, up 1.65 from April's 156.01 reading. The reading matched the 157.5 consensus. Producer Price Index has now risen for 8 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index averaged 154.58, vs 151.82 in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index is now the highest in 16 months.
Latest Release
157.659
Actual
157.5
Consensus
156.011
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.59
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 158.13
Actual: 157.66
Error: +0.47
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | ▲ Direct | +0.69 | STOCKS | Bullish AAPL | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.66 | FOREX | Bearish NZD | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.58 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| GOOGL | ▲ Direct | +0.57 | STOCKS | Bullish GOOGL | → View |
| MSFT | ▼ Inverse | −0.57 | STOCKS | Bearish MSFT | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index (United States) was reported at 157.66 in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 157.50 by 0.16. The reading rose from the previous value of 156.01. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 151.99, ranging from 148.24 to 157.66 across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 155.80, up from the prior three at 151.14.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AAPL (Bullish AAPL). A secondary relationship exists with NZD/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish NZD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.59.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 15, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Fed Bowman Speech (Jul 13) and OPEC Meeting (Jul 13).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Producer Price Index - US
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About Producer Price Index — United States
DEFINITION
The Producer Price Index (PPI) is a key economic indicator that measures the average change in prices received by domestic producers for their goods and services. It provides valuable insight into inflationary pressures and can help businesses and policymakers make informed decisions about pricing and economic policies. The PPI is often used as a leading indicator of consumer price inflation and is closely monitored by investors, analysts, and government agencies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 157.7, consensus 157.5. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 156.5. Before that (Mar 2026): 154.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AAPL (Bullish AAPL, r=0.69) — a useful reference for stocks-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, July 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | US | Monthly Budget Statement | -293 | -132.8 | -132.80 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | US | Budget Balance | -293 | -132.8 | -132.80 | Medium | |
| Tuesday, July 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 95.3 | 95.6 | 94.20 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.90 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.2 | 3.9 | 3.90 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI s.a | 333.979 | 334 | 334.00 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI | 335.12 | 335.1 | 335.10 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | -0.1 | -0.10 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI MoM | 0.5 | -0.1 | -0.10 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Core CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Core CPI YoY | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.90 | Medium | |
| 20:00 | US | Net Long-Term TIC Flows | 103.1 | 128.5 | 139.50 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, July 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index | 157.659 | 159.1 | 158.50 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | 6.5 | 7.2 | 6.90 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 4.9 | 5.2 | 5.05 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.50 | High | |
| Thursday, July 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 6.9 | 6.7 | 6.70 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | |
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales YoY | 4.8 | 1.3 | 1.30 | Medium | |
| Friday, July 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 6.7 | 5.4 | 5.45 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Housing Starts | 1.177 | 1.2 | 1.20 | High | |
| 13:15 | US | Industrial Production YoY | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.50 | Low | |
| 13:15 | US | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.4 | 1 | 1.00 | Low | |
| 13:15 | US | Capacity Utilization | 76.2 | 76.7 | 76.70 | Low | |