Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Producer Price Index climbed to 159.78 in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
US Producer Price Index climbed to 159.78 in September 2026, released October 2026, up 2.37 from August's 157.41 reading. The reading matched the 159.1 consensus. Producer Price Index has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index averaged 156.99, vs 157.08 in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index is now the highest in 20 months.
Latest Release
159.78
Actual
159.1
Consensus
157.411
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.51
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 159.24
Actual: 159.78
Error: -0.54
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.58 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| MSFT | ▼ Inverse | −0.47 | STOCKS | Moves against | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index (United States) was reported at 159.78 in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 159.10 by 0.68. The reading rose from the previous value of 157.41. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 154.95, ranging from 149.78 to 159.78 across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 157.92, up from the prior three at 155.80. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.18) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.72).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/CHF (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with MSFT, negatively correlated (Bearish MSFT). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.51.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 13, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include ISM Manufacturing Employment (Nov 2) and ISM Manufacturing PMI (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
SHARE
Producer Price Index - US
Loading chart data...
About Producer Price Index — United States
DEFINITION
The Producer Price Index (PPI) is a key economic indicator that measures the average change in prices received by domestic producers for their goods and services. It provides valuable insight into inflationary pressures and can help businesses and policymakers make informed decisions about pricing and economic policies. The PPI is often used as a leading indicator of consumer price inflation and is closely monitored by investors, analysts, and government agencies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 159.8, consensus 159.1. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 157.4. Before that (Jul 2026): 156.6.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CHF (Bearish USD, r=-0.58) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - US Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | Employment Cost - Benefits QoQ | 0.9 | 1 | 0.7 | 0.80 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Employment Cost - Wages QoQ | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.75 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Employment Cost Index QoQ | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.80 | Medium |
| 13:45 | US | Chicago PMI | 55.3 | 58.8 | 56.1 | 55.70 | Medium |
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Prices | 77.9 | 78 | 78.40 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Employment | 52.7 | 53 | 54.50 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing New Orders | 55.3 | 55.4 | 56.05 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing PMI | 54.5 | 54.7 | 55.50 | High | |