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South Africa ABSA Manufacturing PMI climbed to 52.6 in April 2026, released May 2026, up 3.6 from March's 49 reading. The print exceeded the 46.7 consensus by 5.9. ABSA Manufacturing PMI has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, ABSA Manufacturing PMI averaged 48.2, vs 43.73 in the prior 3-month window. ABSA Manufacturing PMI is now the highest in 18 months.
across last 12 releases
Apr 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.42 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| USD/ZAR | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The May 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 49. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±2.22. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU) and negatively correlated with USD/ZAR (Bearish USD).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Wednesday, May 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.35 | Low | ||
| 08:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.45 | Medium | ||
| 08:00 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 3.2 | 4.2 | 4.20 | Low | ||
| 08:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.1 | 4.3 | 4.20 | Medium | ||