Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
South AfricaSouth Africa Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 6.2% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
South Africa Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 6.2% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 1.2% from August's 5.0% reading. The print exceeded the 5.7% consensus by 0.5%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 4.01%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 5.35%, vs 6.7% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 88th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
6.2
Actual
5.7
Consensus
5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.5 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 5.35
Actual: 6.2
Error: -0.85
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (South Africa) was reported at 6.2% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 5.7% by 0.5%. The reading rose from the previous value of 5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 4.33%, ranging from 1.8% to 7.8% across 12 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 5.63%, down from the prior three at 6.7%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.03%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.6%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.5%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 26, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Nov 10).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
SHARE
Producer Price Index YoY - ZA
Loading chart data...
About Producer Price Index YoY — South Africa
DEFINITION
South Africa's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 6.200% in October, surpassing the 5.700% estimate and up from September's 5.000%. This increase signals accelerating producer inflation after a prior slowdown. Market focus will remain on how this inflation trend influences the South African Reserve Bank's monetary policy stance. Updated 10/29/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 6.2 %, consensus 5.7 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 5 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 5.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - ZA Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | ZA | Private Sector Credit YoY | 6.23 | 7.47 | 7.5 | 6.87 | Low |
| 09:30 | ZA | Producer Price Index YoY | 6.2 | 5 | 5.7 | 5.95 | Low |
| 09:30 | ZA | Producer Price Index MoM | 1 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 0.75 | Low |