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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ZambiaZambia Inflation Rate MoM climbed to 0.7% in October 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Zambia Inflation Rate MoM climbed to 0.7% in October 2026, up 0.3% from September's 0.4% reading. The print came in hotter than the 0.4% consensus, a hotter print than forecasters anticipated. Inflation Rate MoM has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Inflation Rate MoM averaged 0.27%, vs 0.17% in the prior 3-month window. Inflation Rate MoM is now the highest in 9 months.
Latest Release
0.7
Actual
0.4
Consensus
0.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.26 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 0.48
Actual: 0.7
Error: -0.22
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Inflation Rate MoM (Zambia) was reported at 0.7% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.4% by 0.3%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.52%, ranging from 0.1% to 1.5% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.43%, up from the prior three at 0.17%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.37%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.75%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Inflation Rate MoM has averaged 0.63%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.26%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 26, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Inflation Rate MoM - ZM
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About Inflation Rate MoM — Zambia
DEFINITION
The Inflation Rate MoM (Month-over-Month) is a financial indicator that measures the percentage change in the overall price level of goods and services in a given economy from one month to the next. It is a key measure of inflation and provides insight into the rate at which prices are rising or falling, which can impact consumer purchasing power and overall economic stability. This indicator is closely monitored by economists, policymakers, and investors to assess the health of an economy and make informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 0.7 %, consensus 0.4 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 0.4 %. Before that (Aug 2026): 0.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.56) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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