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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwitzerlandSwitzerland Economic Sentiment Index fell to 2.6 in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Switzerland Economic Sentiment Index fell to 2.6 in September 2026, down 9.5 from August's 12.1 reading. The reading missed the 13 consensus by 10.4. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -9.16. Over the past 3 months, Economic Sentiment Index averaged 11.05, vs -22.13 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 69th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
2.6
Actual
13
Consensus
12.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±17.35
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 22.28
Actual: 2.6
Error: +19.67
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Economic Sentiment Index (Switzerland) was reported at 2.60 in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 13.00 by 10.40. The reading fell from the previous value of 12.10. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -2.78, ranging from -35.00 to 12.20 across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 8.23, up from the prior three at -23.70. Volatility over the past year (σ 15.09) is lower than the prior year (σ 22.01). In September readings over the past 3 years, Economic Sentiment Index has averaged -17.53.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 17.35.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 28, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Oct 20) and Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes (Oct 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Economic Sentiment Index - CH
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About Economic Sentiment Index — Switzerland
DEFINITION
The Economic Sentiment Index is a key financial indicator that measures the overall confidence and outlook of consumers and businesses towards the economy. It takes into account various factors such as consumer spending, business investment, and employment trends to provide a comprehensive assessment of the current economic climate. This index is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can provide valuable insights into the direction of the economy and potential market trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 2.6, consensus 13. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 12.1. Before that (Jul 2026): 10.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - CH Events
| Thursday, October 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | CH | Producer Price Index YoY | -0.2 | -0.7 | -0.2 | -0.20 | Low |
| 06:30 | CH | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.40 | Low |