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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwitzerlandSwitzerland Industrial Production YoY climbed to 5.5% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Switzerland Industrial Production YoY climbed to 5.5% in April 2026, released August 2026, up 13.1% from March's -7.6% reading. The print exceeded the -4.7% consensus by 10.2%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.38%. Industrial Production YoY is now the highest in 12 months.
Latest Release
5.5
Actual
-4.7
Consensus
-7.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.65 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: -8.5
Actual: 5.5
Error: -14
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| CHF/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Industrial Production YoY (Switzerland) was reported at 5.5% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of -4.7% by 10.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of -7.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.77%, down from the prior three at 3.43%. In August readings over the past 3 years, Industrial Production YoY has averaged 4.23%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/CHF (Bullish CHF). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/CHF, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.65%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Sep 17) and SECO Economic Forecasts (Sep 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Industrial Production YoY - CH
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About Industrial Production YoY — Switzerland
DEFINITION
Industrial Production YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors over a 12-month period. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of a country's industrial sector, which is a crucial component of its overall economic performance. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can signal potential shifts in the economy and help inform business and investment decisions. A positive YoY growth in industrial production indicates a strong and expanding industrial sector, while a negative growth may suggest a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 5.5 %, consensus -4.7 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): -7.1 %. Before that (Oct 2025): -0.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CHF (Bullish CHF, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - CH Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | CH | Producer Price Index YoY | -0.7 | -2.1 | -1.3 | -1.00 | Low |
| 06:30 | CH | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.7 | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.40 | Low |
| Thursday, September 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | CH | Balance of Trade | 8.1 | 7.5 | 8.55 | Medium | |