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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ArgentinaArgentina Real interest rate (%) fell to -16.23 Percentage (%) in January 2023
World BankYearlyReleased January 2023
Argentina Real interest rate (%) fell to -16.23 Percentage (%) in January 2023, down 6.16 Percentage (%) from December's -10.07 Percentage (%) reading.
Latest Release
-16.23
Latest (2023)
-10.07
Previous
World Bank
Source
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Real Interest Rate (%) (Argentina) was reported at -47.43 Percent in December 2024. The reading fell from the previous value of -17.25 Percent. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -24.83 Percent, down from the prior three at -2.46 Percent.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2024.
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Real interest rate (%) - AR
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About Real interest rate (%) — Argentina
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - AR Events
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | AR | Consumer Confidence | 40 | 40 | 40.02 | Low | |
| 19:00 | AR | Balance of Trade | 2711 | 2200 | 2108.50 | Low | |