What is the Russell 2000 forecast?

The Russell 2000 (^RUT) is forecasted using our adaptive model ensemble that generates 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day predictions with confidence intervals and expected zone analysis. View the latest Russell 2000 forecast on this page.

What is the Russell 2000 expected price range?

The Russell 2000 expected move is estimated as a symmetric range around the current level across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, derived from recent realized volatility. These are magnitude estimates, not directional predictions — see the expected-move ranges on this page.

How accurate are Russell 2000 predictions?

Sigmanomics tracks all forecast accuracy transparently. View median absolute error and zone-containment metrics for Russell 2000 and all other instruments on our Performance page at sigmanomics.com/performance.

How much could ^RUT move?

^RUT has an expected move of roughly ±1.5% over 7 days, ±2.3% over 14 days, ±3.5% over 28 days — symmetric ranges around the current price derived from recent realized volatility. These are magnitude estimates, not directional predictions. ^RUT's recent path efficiency (ER) is 0.33 over the trailing 14 sessions, indicating a moderately trending path.

Russell 2000 (^RUT) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

Primary economy: United States economic indicators

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.

Russell 2000 (^RUT) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone

Forecast batch: 9/9/26

Premium grade: 2026-09-10 05:09 UTC

^RUT's band carries a graded record, but its options premium is not being graded right now. Sigmacast's calibrated band is sized from realized volatility and graded against every terminal close, with its containment rate audited at each horizon over the trailing 30 days. Horizon grades return when the premium ladder is gradeable again — current status is below.

short-term trend: choppy · flat7d

7 Day^prov

± 1.5%

expected move

path efficiency (ER)0.19

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

7-day window · fewer obs, noisier

60/80/95 · ±1.5/2.2/3.6%

medium-term trend: choppy · drifted down14d

14 Day^prov

± 2.3%

expected move

path efficiency (ER)0.33

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

60/80/95 · ±2.3/3.5/5.6%

long-term trend: choppy · flat28d

28 Day^prov

± 3.5%

expected move

path efficiency (ER)0.02

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

60/80/95 · ±3.5/5.3/8.6%

Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)

Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)

8 correlated indicators

Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.

Positively correlated: Gross Domestic Product MoM (r=+0.99), Interest Rate Decision (r=+0.94), GDP Growth Rate QoQ (r=+0.92), BoE MPC Vote Cut (r=+0.91)

Inversely correlated: Trade Balance (r=-0.94), Inflation Rate YoY (r=-0.92), Inflation Expectations (r=-0.91), CPI MoM (r=-0.91)

^RUT

indices

Current Price

September 10, 2026

Market Closed

2921.23

Actual

August 10, 2026

-3.13%

3015.72

1 Month Ago

September 10, 2025

+18.48%

2465.49

1 Year Ago

Upcoming Forecasts

View All Forecasts →

^RUT · INDICES

14-DAY FORECAST · 9/24/26

EXPECTED MOVE± 2.3%range 2855.06 – 2987.41 · 14D

Upper / lower bound2987.41 / 2855.06

Outside-range leveloutside 2855.06 – 2987.41price exits the expected band (either side)

Containment~60% (provisional)band hits its stated rate (backtest)

Term structure · expected move by horizon

Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.

Outcome legend

Magnitude · primary

How big was the move vs the forecast band?

+12.4%band-relative outcome efficiency

—efficiency not yet computed for this trade

Zone

Did price stay inside the expected band?

CONTAINEDentry price inside the expected band

BREACHED HIGHentry above the band's upper bound

BREACHED LOWentry below the band's lower bound

· · · Explore all 9 models across all timeframes on Sigmanomics · · ·

Signal Tracker Record / PerformancePast Performance →

Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.

SETUP

The Russell 2000 (^RUT) is a market index covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The ^RUT index closed at 2,921.16 on September 9, 2026, reflecting a decline of 1.28% from the previous close of 2,959.05.

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

Over the past 30 days, the index has experienced a modest uptrend with a rally of 0.54%, ranging between 2,902.47 and 3,069.71. The price currently trades below its 20-day moving average of 2,996.79. The 14-day RSI stands at 40.1, in neutral territory, indicating balanced momentum.

THE RISK

Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 0.92%, reflecting subdued price variability for this index. Across the past 52 weeks, the index has traded between 2,303.46 and 3,069.71, with the current price near the high end of that range.

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Daily-return volatility of 0.92% runs elevated for this index, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. ^RUT is currently trading 2.52% below its 20-day moving average and sitting in the upper portion of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 40.1, currently in neutral territory.

Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Sep 2026.

Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.

Primary economy: United States economic indicators

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone

Forecast batch: 9/9/26

Premium grade: 2026-09-10 05:09 UTC

short-term trend: choppy · flat7d

7 Day^prov

± 1.5%

expected move

path efficiency (ER)0.19

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

7-day window · fewer obs, noisier

60/80/95 · ±1.5/2.2/3.6%

medium-term trend: choppy · drifted down14d

14 Day^prov

± 2.3%

expected move

path efficiency (ER)0.33

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

60/80/95 · ±2.3/3.5/5.6%

long-term trend: choppy · flat28d

28 Day^prov

± 3.5%

expected move

path efficiency (ER)0.02

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

60/80/95 · ±3.5/5.3/8.6%

Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)

Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)

8 correlated indicators

Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.

Positively correlated: Gross Domestic Product MoM (r=+0.99), Interest Rate Decision (r=+0.94), GDP Growth Rate QoQ (r=+0.92), BoE MPC Vote Cut (r=+0.91)

Inversely correlated: Trade Balance (r=-0.94), Inflation Rate YoY (r=-0.92), Inflation Expectations (r=-0.91), CPI MoM (r=-0.91)

^RUT

indices

Current Price

September 10, 2026

Market Closed

2921.23

Actual

August 10, 2026

-3.13%

3015.72

1 Month Ago

September 10, 2025

+18.48%

2465.49

1 Year Ago

Upcoming Forecasts

View All Forecasts →

^RUT · INDICES

14-DAY FORECAST · 9/24/26

EXPECTED MOVE± 2.3%range 2855.06 – 2987.41 · 14D

Upper / lower bound2987.41 / 2855.06

Outside-range leveloutside 2855.06 – 2987.41price exits the expected band (either side)

Containment~60% (provisional)band hits its stated rate (backtest)

Term structure · expected move by horizon

Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.

Outcome legend

Magnitude · primary

How big was the move vs the forecast band?

+12.4%band-relative outcome efficiency

—efficiency not yet computed for this trade

Zone

Did price stay inside the expected band?

CONTAINEDentry price inside the expected band

BREACHED HIGHentry above the band's upper bound

BREACHED LOWentry below the band's lower bound

· · · Explore all 9 models across all timeframes on Sigmanomics · · ·

Signal Tracker Record / PerformancePast Performance →

Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Sep 2026.

Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.

Russell 2000 (^RUT) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

Russell 2000 (^RUT) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

^RUT

Current Price

Upcoming Forecasts

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Related Pairs

Correlated Economic Indicators

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

^RUT

Current Price

Upcoming Forecasts

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Related Pairs

Correlated Economic Indicators

Russell 2000 (^RUT) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

Russell 2000 (^RUT) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

^RUT

Current Price

Upcoming Forecasts

→ SETUP

→ WHAT'S DRIVING IT

→ THE RISK

→ WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Related Pairs

Correlated Economic Indicators

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

^RUT

Current Price

Upcoming Forecasts

→ SETUP

→ WHAT'S DRIVING IT

→ THE RISK

→ WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Related Pairs

Correlated Economic Indicators

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT