FTSE 100 (^FTSE) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis
^FTSE
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View All Forecasts →Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Containment = share of graded forecast-days the 60% band held; its 95% interval counts independent windows only (n_eff, non-overlapping, stride = horizon) — per-symbol audit; static backtest copy where the audit has no n_eff yet. Magnitude only, not a directional record.
6 of 7 models in band
± 1.91% expected move
backtest — refresh paused (#568)
Actionable · size by band. The validated edge is magnitude, not direction.
Timeframes diverge — no single coherent trend.
Context, not a trade signal · forward test pending.
Descriptive — does not size the band.
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Suitability · premium context. Whether options are rich or cheap to own here — sizing input, not a price call.
^FTSE's calibrated band puts the expected move at ±1.2% over 7 days, widening to ±3.0% over 28.
Sigmacast expected range · containment-audited · early record · 85.5% (83 forecast-days · n_eff=8 independent windows) · CI 51–97% · as of 7 Nov 2026 · n_eff as of 8 Nov 2026 → full record
Across 83 graded 14-day forecast-days since 11 Jun 2026 (8 independent windows), ^FTSE's expected-range band contained price 85.5% of the time (95% CI 51–97%; stated rate: 80%).
As of November 8, 2026, ^FTSE is trading at 10673.94. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this index generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
SETUP
The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) is a market index covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The ^FTSE index closed at 10,670.27 on November 6, 2026, reflecting a decline of 0.94% from the previous close of 10,771.49.
WHAT'S DRIVING IT
Over the past 30 days, the index has experienced a sideways movement with a decline of 0.28%, ranging between 10,368.03 and 10,947.58. The price currently trades below its 20-day moving average of 10,734.79. The 14-day RSI stands at 47.8, in neutral territory, indicating balanced momentum.
THE RISK
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 0.76%, reflecting subdued price variability for this index. Over the past 52 weeks, ^FTSE traded between 9,423.90 (Nov 21, 2025) and 10,989.31 (Jul 31, 2026); the current price sits 2.9% below the 52-week high.
WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT
Daily-return volatility of 0.76% is subdued for this index, leaving recent ranges compressed — watch for a decisive break of the band as the more telling development. ^FTSE is currently trading 0.60% below its 20-day moving average and sitting in the upper portion of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 47.8, currently in neutral territory.
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: New Passenger Car Registrations (UK) (r=+0.87), Construction Output YoY (IT) (r=+0.79)
Inversely correlated: Industrial Production YoY (DE) (r=-0.90), New Car Sales YoY (IT) (r=-0.88), S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (HU) (r=-0.86), BoE MPC Vote Hike (UK) (r=-0.83), HCOB Composite PMI (FR) (r=-0.76), Budget balance (FR) (r=-0.75)
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Nov 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.Related Pairs
Correlated Economic Indicators
Primary economy: United Kingdom economic indicators
