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Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.
Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone
Forecast batch: 8/2/26
Market-data read
NG/USD reads range-bound — no clean directional character at any horizon (ER 0.15 / 0.25 / 0.40). Recent action is directionless chop rather than a trend. Term-structure band: ±2.8% / ±3.5% / ±4.3% (7/14/28d).
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: Composite Economic Index MoM (r=+0.96), CPI Rent of Primary Residence (r=+0.94)
Inversely correlated: Bundesanleihe Auction (r=-0.98), 12-Month Letras Auction (r=-0.92), CPI YoY (r=-0.92), JOLTs Job Quits (r=-0.91), Construction Output YoY (r=-0.90), Gross Domestic Product YoY (r=-0.89)
As of August 3, 2026, NG/USD is trading at 2.75. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this commodity generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
Market-data read
Natural Gas (NG/USD) is a commodity instrument tracked by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The NG/USD commodity closed at 2.7615 on August 3, 2026, reflecting a gain of 0.54% from the previous close of 2.7467.
Over the past 30 days, the commodity has experienced a strong downtrend with a decline of 14.90%, ranging between 2.5983 and 3.3570. The price currently trades below its 20-day moving average of 2.8358. The 14-day RSI stands at 36.9, in the lower part of its range.
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 2.03%, reflecting typical price variability for this commodity. Across the past 52 weeks, the commodity has traded between 2.4948 and 7.4505, with the current price near the low end of that range.
Daily-return volatility of 2.03% runs elevated for this commodity, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. NG/USD is currently trading 2.62% below its 20-day moving average and sitting in the lower portion of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 36.9, currently in neutral territory.
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Aug 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.