DAX (^GDAXI) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis
^GDAXI
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View All Forecasts →Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Containment = share of graded forecast-days the 60% band held; its 95% interval counts independent windows only (n_eff, non-overlapping, stride = horizon) — per-symbol audit; static backtest copy where the audit has no n_eff yet. Magnitude only, not a directional record.
6 of 7 models in band
± 2.98% expected move
backtest — refresh paused (#568)
Actionable · size by band. The validated edge is magnitude, not direction.
Coherent trend across 2H/1D/1W.
Context, not a trade signal · forward test pending.
Descriptive — does not size the band.
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Suitability · premium context. Whether options are rich or cheap to own here — sizing input, not a price call.
^GDAXI's calibrated band puts the expected move at ±1.9% over 7 days, widening to ±4.6% over 28.
Sigmacast expected range · containment-audited · early record · 88% (83 forecast-days · n_eff=8 independent windows) · CI 53–98% · as of 7 Nov 2026 · n_eff as of 8 Nov 2026 → full record
Across 83 graded 14-day forecast-days since 11 Jun 2026 (8 independent windows), ^GDAXI's expected-range band contained price 88% of the time (95% CI 53–98%; stated rate: 80%).
As of November 8, 2026, ^GDAXI is trading at 25672.50. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this index generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
SETUP
The DAX (^GDAXI) is a market index covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The ^GDAXI index closed at 25,794.50 on November 6, 2026, reflecting a decline of 2.00% from the previous close of 26,321.30.
WHAT'S DRIVING IT
Over the past 30 days, the index has experienced a modest uptrend with a rally of 1.54%, ranging between 24,789.00 and 26,689.30. The price currently trades above its 20-day moving average of 25,635.86. The 14-day RSI stands at 51.8, in neutral territory, indicating balanced momentum.
THE RISK
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 1.00%, reflecting subdued price variability for this index. Over the past 52 weeks, ^GDAXI traded between 21,863.81 (Mar 23, 2026) and 26,689.30 (Nov 5, 2026); the current price sits 3.4% below the 52-week high.
WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT
Daily-return volatility of 1.00% runs elevated for this index, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. ^GDAXI is currently trading 0.62% above its 20-day moving average and sitting in the upper portion of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 51.8, currently in neutral territory.
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: New Passenger Car Registrations (UK) (r=+0.85), Construction Output YoY (IT) (r=+0.79), Construction Output YoY (EU) (r=+0.76), CPI YoY (CZ) (r=+0.75), GDP Growth Rate QoQ (FR) (r=+0.74)
Inversely correlated: Retail Sales MoM (DK) (r=-0.92), Gross Domestic Product YoY (HU) (r=-0.80), S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (SE) (r=-0.74)
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Nov 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.Related Pairs
Correlated Economic Indicators
Primary economy: Germany economic indicators
