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Primary economy: United States economic indicators

Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.
Sigmacast expected range ± 19.1–45.5% · 7–28-day calibrated zone
Last Updated: 6/23/26
recent path character per horizon · descriptive, not a forecast
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: Long-Term Unemployed (27+ weeks) (r=+0.97), All Car Sales (r=+0.94)
Inversely correlated: Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index (r=-0.94), Inflation Rate YoY (r=-0.94), Philly Fed Prices Paid (r=-0.92), Inflation Expectations (r=-0.92), Inflation Rate MoM (r=-0.92), NAB Business Confidence (r=-0.91)
As of June 23, 2026, ^VIX is trading at 19.39. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this index generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
medium-term trend: up · 1D · ER 0.10 · trailing 7d
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
The CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX) is a market index covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The ^VIX index closed at 19.3400 on June 23, 2026, reflecting a gain of 11.99% from the previous close of 17.2700.
Over the past 30 days, the index has experienced a strong uptrend with a rally of 5.34%, ranging between 15.1900 and 23.2400. The price currently trades above its 20-day moving average of 17.4560. The 14-day RSI stands at 54.3, in neutral territory, indicating balanced momentum.
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 8.71%, reflecting heightened price variability for this index.
Daily-return volatility of 8.71% runs elevated for this index, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. ^VIX is currently trading 10.79% above its 20-day moving average. Its 14-day RSI reads 54.3, currently in neutral territory.
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Jun 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.