What is the CBOE Volatility Index forecast?

The CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX) is forecasted using our adaptive model ensemble that generates 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day predictions with confidence intervals and expected zone analysis. View the latest CBOE Volatility Index forecast on this page.

What is the CBOE Volatility Index expected price range?

The CBOE Volatility Index expected move is estimated as a symmetric range around the current level across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, derived from recent realized volatility. These are magnitude estimates, not directional predictions — see the expected-move ranges on this page.

How accurate are CBOE Volatility Index predictions?

Sigmanomics tracks all forecast accuracy transparently. View median absolute error and zone-containment metrics for CBOE Volatility Index and all other instruments on our Performance page at sigmanomics.com/performance.

How much could ^VIX move?

^VIX has an expected move of roughly ±9.1% over 7 days, ±14.1% over 14 days, ±21.7% over 28 days — symmetric ranges around the current price derived from recent realized volatility. These are magnitude estimates, not directional predictions. ^VIX's recent path efficiency (ER) is 0.08 over the trailing 14 sessions, indicating a choppy, range-bound path.

CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

Primary economy: United States economic indicators

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.

CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone

Forecast batch: 9/7/26

Premium grade: 2026-09-07 05:09 UTC

^VIX's options premium sits in the typical range. Sigmacast's calibrated band is sized from realized volatility and graded against every terminal close, with its containment rate audited at each horizon over the trailing 30 days. That grade is the same at all three horizons — each one's band is below.

short-term trend: choppy · flat7d

7 Day^prov

± 9.1%

expected move

path efficiency (ER)0.08

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

7-day window · fewer obs, noisier

60/80/95 · ±9.1/13.9/22.4%

medium-term trend: choppy · drifted down14d

14 Day^prov

± 14.1%

expected move

path efficiency (ER)0.08

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

60/80/95 · ±14.1/21.5/34.5%

long-term trend: choppy · drifted down28d

28 Day^prov

± 21.7%

expected move

path efficiency (ER)0.26

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

60/80/95 · ±21.7/33.2/53.3%

Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)

Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)

8 correlated indicators

Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.

Positively correlated: Gross Domestic Product MoM (r=+0.99), Interest Rate Decision (r=+0.94), GDP Growth Rate QoQ (r=+0.92), BoE MPC Vote Cut (r=+0.91)

Inversely correlated: Trade Balance (r=-0.94), Inflation Rate YoY (r=-0.92), Inflation Expectations (r=-0.91), CPI MoM (r=-0.91)

^VIX

indices

Current Price

September 08, 2026

Market Closed

15.30

Actual

August 08, 2026

-2.11%

15.63

1 Month Ago

September 08, 2025

-11.82%

17.35

1 Year Ago

Upcoming Forecasts

View All Forecasts →

^VIX · INDICES

14-DAY FORECAST · 9/22/26

EXPECTED MOVE± 14.1%range 13.15 – 17.45 · 14D

Upper / lower bound17.45 / 13.15

Outside-range leveloutside 13.15 – 17.45price exits the expected band (either side)

Containment~60% (provisional)band hits its stated rate (backtest)

Term structure · expected move by horizon

Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.

Outcome legend

Magnitude · primary

How big was the move vs the forecast band?

+12.4%band-relative outcome efficiency

—efficiency not yet computed for this trade

Zone

Did price stay inside the expected band?

CONTAINEDentry price inside the expected band

BREACHED HIGHentry above the band's upper bound

BREACHED LOWentry below the band's lower bound

· · · Explore all 9 models across all timeframes on Sigmanomics · · ·

Signal Tracker Record / PerformancePast Performance →

Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.

SETUP

The CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX) is a market index covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The ^VIX index closed at 14.4000 on September 4, 2026, reflecting a gain of 0.70% from the previous close of 14.3000.

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

Over the past 30 days, the index has experienced a strong downtrend with a decline of 23.61%, ranging between 13.9300 and 20.4400. The price currently trades below its 20-day moving average of 15.1075. The 14-day RSI stands at 44.2, in neutral territory, indicating balanced momentum.

THE RISK

Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 5.72%, reflecting heightened price variability for this index. Across the past 52 weeks, the index has traded between 13.3800 and 31.8400, with the current price near the low end of that range.

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Daily-return volatility of 5.72% runs elevated for this index, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. ^VIX is currently trading 4.68% below its 20-day moving average and sitting in the lower portion of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 44.2, currently in neutral territory.

Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Sep 2026.

Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.

Primary economy: United States economic indicators

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone

Forecast batch: 9/7/26

Premium grade: 2026-09-07 05:09 UTC

short-term trend: choppy · flat7d

7 Day^prov

± 9.1%

expected move

path efficiency (ER)0.08

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

7-day window · fewer obs, noisier

60/80/95 · ±9.1/13.9/22.4%

medium-term trend: choppy · drifted down14d

14 Day^prov

± 14.1%

expected move

path efficiency (ER)0.08

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

60/80/95 · ±14.1/21.5/34.5%

long-term trend: choppy · drifted down28d

28 Day^prov

± 21.7%

expected move

path efficiency (ER)0.26

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

60/80/95 · ±21.7/33.2/53.3%

Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)

Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)

8 correlated indicators

Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.

Positively correlated: Gross Domestic Product MoM (r=+0.99), Interest Rate Decision (r=+0.94), GDP Growth Rate QoQ (r=+0.92), BoE MPC Vote Cut (r=+0.91)

Inversely correlated: Trade Balance (r=-0.94), Inflation Rate YoY (r=-0.92), Inflation Expectations (r=-0.91), CPI MoM (r=-0.91)

^VIX

indices

Current Price

September 08, 2026

Market Closed

15.30

Actual

August 08, 2026

-2.11%

15.63

1 Month Ago

September 08, 2025

-11.82%

17.35

1 Year Ago

Upcoming Forecasts

View All Forecasts →

^VIX · INDICES

14-DAY FORECAST · 9/22/26

EXPECTED MOVE± 14.1%range 13.15 – 17.45 · 14D

Upper / lower bound17.45 / 13.15

Outside-range leveloutside 13.15 – 17.45price exits the expected band (either side)

Containment~60% (provisional)band hits its stated rate (backtest)

Term structure · expected move by horizon

Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.

Outcome legend

Magnitude · primary

How big was the move vs the forecast band?

+12.4%band-relative outcome efficiency

—efficiency not yet computed for this trade

Zone

Did price stay inside the expected band?

CONTAINEDentry price inside the expected band

BREACHED HIGHentry above the band's upper bound

BREACHED LOWentry below the band's lower bound

· · · Explore all 9 models across all timeframes on Sigmanomics · · ·

Signal Tracker Record / PerformancePast Performance →

Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Sep 2026.

Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.

CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

^VIX

Current Price

Upcoming Forecasts

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Related Pairs

Correlated Economic Indicators

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

^VIX

Current Price

Upcoming Forecasts

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Related Pairs

Correlated Economic Indicators

CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

^VIX

Current Price

Upcoming Forecasts

→ SETUP

→ WHAT'S DRIVING IT

→ THE RISK

→ WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Related Pairs

Correlated Economic Indicators

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

^VIX

Current Price

Upcoming Forecasts

→ SETUP

→ WHAT'S DRIVING IT

→ THE RISK

→ WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Related Pairs

Correlated Economic Indicators

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT