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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia Business Inventories MoM climbed to 0.8% in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2025
Australia Business Inventories MoM climbed to 0.8% in January 2025, released June 2025, up 0.6% from December's 0.2% reading. The print exceeded the 0.2% consensus by 0.6%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.1%.
Latest Release
0.8
Actual
0.2
Consensus
0.2
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| AUD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| AUD/NZD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish NZD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Business Inventories MoM (Australia) was reported at 0.5% in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -0.17%, down from the prior three at 0.33%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish AUD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 16) and RBA Rate Statement (Jun 16).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Business Inventories MoM - AU
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About Business Inventories MoM — Australia
DEFINITION
Business Inventories MoM (Month-over-Month) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the total value of goods and materials held in inventory by businesses over a one-month period. This indicator provides valuable insights into the current state of the economy, as changes in business inventories can indicate shifts in consumer demand and production levels. It is closely monitored by investors, analysts, and policymakers as it can impact stock prices, inflation, and overall economic growth. A positive change in business inventories MoM may suggest a healthy economy, while a negative change may signal potential economic weakness.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 0.5 %. Prior reading (Oct 2025): -0.1 %. Before that (Jul 2025): -0.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD, r=0.55) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.