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Data from Australian Bureau of Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia GDP Capital Expenditure QoQ fell to -0.8% in Q2 2025
Australian Bureau of StatisticsQuarterlyReleased September 2025
Australia GDP Capital Expenditure QoQ fell to -0.8% in Q2 2025, released September 2025, down 0.7% from March's -0.1% reading. The reading missed the 0.4% consensus by 1.2%. GDP Capital Expenditure QoQ has now declined for 4 consecutive months. GDP Capital Expenditure QoQ is now the lowest in 12 months.
Latest Release
-0.8
Actual
0.4
Consensus
-0.1
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| AUD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| AUD/NZD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish NZD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Capital Expenditure QoQ (Australia) was reported at 3% in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.23%, up from the prior three at -0%. In June readings over the past 3 years, GDP Capital Expenditure QoQ has averaged 0.73%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish AUD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 16) and RBA Rate Statement (Jun 16).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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GDP Capital Expenditure QoQ - AU
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About GDP Capital Expenditure QoQ — Australia
DEFINITION
GDP Capital Expenditure QoQ is a financial indicator that measures the change in a country's gross domestic product (GDP) from one quarter to the next, specifically focusing on the amount of money spent on capital investments. This indicator provides valuable insight into the overall health and growth of an economy, as capital expenditures are a key driver of economic expansion and productivity. It is often used by investors, policymakers, and analysts to assess the strength of a country's economy and make informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 3 %. Prior reading (Oct 2025): 0.7 %. Before that (Jul 2025): 3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD, r=0.55) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.