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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia Gross Domestic Product QoQ climbed to 0.4% in Q2 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Australia Gross Domestic Product QoQ climbed to 0.4% in Q2 2026, released September 2026, up 0.1% from March's 0.3% reading. The print exceeded the 0.3% consensus by 0.1%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.48%.
Latest Release
0.4
Actual
0.3
Consensus
0.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.1 percentage points
across last 7 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 0.3
Actual: 0.4
Error: -0.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/NZD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Australia) was reported at 0.4% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.3% by 0.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.5%, up from the prior three at 0.4%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish AUD). Over the last 7 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.1%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC AUD speculative net positions (Sep 18) and RBA Hunter Speech (Sep 21).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product QoQ - AU
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About Gross Domestic Product QoQ — Australia
DEFINITION
Australia’s Gross Domestic Product QoQ rose 0.400000% in Q3 2026, beating the 0.300000% estimate. This marks an increase from Q2’s 0.300000%, signaling continued economic expansion. The stronger reading supports current market pricing and central bank policy expectations. Updated 9/2/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 0.4 %, consensus 0.3 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 0.3 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 0.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD, r=0.55) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - AU Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | AU | Westpac Leading Index MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low | |
| 01:00 | AU | Leading Index MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low | |