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Data from Australian Bureau of Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia Part Time Employment Chg climbed to -7.9K in April 2026
Australian Bureau of StatisticsMonthlyReleased May 2026
Australia Part Time Employment Chg climbed to -7.9K in April 2026, released May 2026, up 32.1K from March's -40K reading. The print exceeded the -30K consensus by 22.1K. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 7.15K. Over the past 3 months, Part Time Employment Chg averaged 22.4K, vs 1.25K in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 37th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-7.9
Actual
-30
Consensus
-40
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±25.29 thousand
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 6.2
Actual: -7.9
Error: +14.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.67 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| AUD/NZD | ▲ Direct | +0.52 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| S&P/ASX 200 | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Part Time Employment Chg (Australia) was reported at -74 thousand in October 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 33 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0 thousand, ranging from -74 thousand to 79 thousand across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -20 thousand, down from the prior three at 13 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 47 thousand) is higher than the prior year (σ 33 thousand). In October readings over the past 3 years, Part Time Employment Chg has averaged -18 thousand.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/NZD, positively correlated (Bullish AUD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 25 thousand.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 19, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC AUD speculative net positions (Oct 30) and Building Permits MoM (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Part Time Employment Chg - AU
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About Part Time Employment Chg — Australia
DEFINITION
Part Time Employment Chg is a financial indicator that measures the change in the number of individuals employed in part-time positions. This data is often used to assess the overall health of the job market and can provide insights into shifts in employment trends and economic conditions. It is a valuable tool for businesses, investors, and policymakers to make informed decisions and projections.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual -73.7 K. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 45.8 K. Before that (Jul 2026): -32.2 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.67) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - AU Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | AU | Import Prices QoQ | -1.1 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.10 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Export Prices QoQ | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.35 | Low |
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | AU | Private Sector Credit YoY | 8.4 | 8.4 | 8.2 | 8.32 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Housing Credit MoM | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.43 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Private Sector Credit MoM | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.57 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Producer Price Index QoQ | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.27 | Medium |
| 00:30 | AU | Producer Price Index YoY | 3.6 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 4.55 | Low |