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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BulgariaBulgaria Producer Price Index MoM fell to -0.5% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Bulgaria Producer Price Index MoM fell to -0.5% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.3% from May's -0.2% reading. The reading missed the -0.4% consensus by 0.1%. Producer Price Index MoM has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged 0.85%, vs 1.73% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 22nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-0.5
Actual
-0.4
Consensus
-0.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.28 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 0.28
Actual: -0.5
Error: +0.78
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.64 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (Bulgaria) was reported at -0.5% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of -0.4% by 0.1%. The reading fell from the previous value of -0.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.47%, ranging from -0.5% to 5.9% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.4%, down from the prior three at 2.47%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.94%) is lower than the prior year (σ 3.05%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.28%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 28, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - BG
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About Producer Price Index MoM — Bulgaria
DEFINITION
Bulgaria's Producer Price Index MoM for July registered at -0.5%, missing the -0.4% estimate and down from June's -0.2%. The decline marks a continued contraction in producer prices following June's slight decrease. Market focus remains on upcoming inflation data and central bank policy amid persistent price pressures. Updated 7/30/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -0.5 %, consensus -0.4 %. Prior reading (May 2026): -0.2 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 1.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.64) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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