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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BulgariaBulgaria Producer Price Index YoY fell to 17.1% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Bulgaria Producer Price Index YoY fell to 17.1% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.4% from May's 17.5% reading. The reading matched the 17.3% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 10.65%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 16.35%, vs 9.27% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 86th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
17.1
Actual
17.3
Consensus
17.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.01 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 18.75
Actual: 17.1
Error: +1.65
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Bulgaria) was reported at 17.1% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 17.3% by 0.2%. The reading fell from the previous value of 17.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 11.77%, ranging from 7.9% to 17.5% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 16.6%, up from the prior three at 9.77%. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.42%) is lower than the prior year (σ 3.94%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.01%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 28, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - BG
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Bulgaria
DEFINITION
Bulgaria's Producer Price Index YoY for July came in at 17.1%, missing the 17.3% estimate and down from June's 17.5%. The data shows a slight deceleration in producer price inflation compared to the previous month. Market participants will watch upcoming inflation reports closely amid this easing trend. Updated 7/30/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 17.1 %, consensus 17.3 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 17.5 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 15.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.46) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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