Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BulgariaBulgaria Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 15.2% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Bulgaria Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 15.2% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 7.1% from March's 8.1% reading. The print exceeded the 11.5% consensus by 3.7%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 9.54%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 8.25%, vs 10.97% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 12 months.
Latest Release
15.2
Actual
11.5
Consensus
8.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.13 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 11.6
Actual: 15.2
Error: -3.6
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Bulgaria) was reported at 15.2% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 11.5% by 3.7%. The reading rose from the previous value of 8.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 9.94%, ranging from 7.1% to 15.2% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 11.63%, down from the prior three at 11.7%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.13%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 30, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
SHARE
Producer Price Index YoY - BG
Loading chart data...
About Producer Price Index YoY — Bulgaria
DEFINITION
Bulgaria's Producer Price Index YoY surged to 15.200000% in May, well above the 11.500000% estimate and up from April's 8.100000%. This sharp acceleration signals a significant rise in producer inflation pressures year-over-year. Market focus will remain on central bank responses amid this unexpected inflation jump. Updated 5/29/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 15.2 %, consensus 11.5 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 8.1 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 8.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.