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Brazil IBC-BR Economic Activity
Latest Release
0.800000
Actual
0.850000
Consensus
-0.200000
Previous
IBC-BR Economic Activity (Brazil) was reported at 0.8 in March 2026. The reading missed the market consensus of 0.85 by 0.05, coming in below expectations. This represents an increase from the previous value of -0.2. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/BRL (Bullish BRL) and positively correlated with EUR/USD (Watch).
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IBC-BR Economic Activity - BR
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Economic Calendar - BR Events
| Saturday, April 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical |
| Friday, April 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | BR | Business Confidence | - | 46.6 | 46 | 45.60 | Medium |
| 12:00 | BR | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.14 | 3.81 | 4 | 4.04 | Medium |
| 12:00 | BR | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.88 | 0.7 | 0.77 | 0.80 | Medium |
| 12:00 | BR | IBC-BR Economic Activity | - | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.52 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | CPI MoM | 0.88 | 0.7 | 0.77 | 0.84 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | CPI YoY | 4.14 | 3.81 | 4 | 4.08 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical |
| Thursday, April 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | Retail Sales YoY | - | 2.8 | 1.9 | 2.32 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | Retail Sales MoM | - | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.67 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical |
| Wednesday, April 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | BR | Car Production MoM | 27.6 | 24.9 | -9 | 6.73 | Low |
| 14:00 | BR | New Car Sales MoM | 45.5 | 8.6 | 5 | 10.62 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical |
| Tuesday, April 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 18:00 | BR | Balance of Trade | 6.4 | 4.4 | 7.4 | 6.71 | Medium |
| 14:00 | BR | New Car Sales MoM | - | 8.6 | 5 | 10.62 | Low |
| 14:00 | BR | Car Production MoM | - | 24.9 | -9 | 6.73 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical |
| Monday, April 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | BR | S&P Global Services PMI | 50.1 | 53.1 | 52.5 | 52.63 | Medium |
| 13:00 | BR | S&P Global Composite PMI | 49.9 | 51.3 | 51.2 | 51.38 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical |
| Sunday, April 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical |
| Saturday, April 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical |
| Friday, April 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical |
| Thursday, April 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | Industrial Production YoY | -0.7 | 0.2 | -1 | -0.70 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | Industrial Production MoM | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 1.18 | Medium |
| 08:00 | BR | IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM | 0.59 | 0.25 | 0.2 | 0.44 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | Industrial Production MoM | 0.900000 | 2.100000 | 0.700000 | 1.18 | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Industrial Production YoY | -0.700000 | 0.200000 | -1.000000 | -0.70 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM | 0.590000 | 0.250000 | 0.200000 | 0.44 | low |
| Wednesday, April 1, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | BR | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49 | 47.3 | 48 | 48.35 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49.000000 | 47.300000 | 48.000000 | 48.35 | low |
| Tuesday, March 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:30 | BR | Net Payrolls | 255.32 | 112.33 | 270 | 263.00 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | Producer Price Index YoY | -4.47 | -4.33 | -4.1 | -4.08 | Low |
| 11:30 | BR | Nominal Budget Balance | -100.589 | 40.062 | -75 | -85.85 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | Net Payrolls | 255.320000 | 112.330000 | 270.000000 | 263.00 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Interest Rate | 9.130000 | 9.190000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Producer Price Index YoY | -4.470000 | -4.330000 | -4.100000 | -4.08 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Gross Debt to GDP | 79.200000 | 78.700000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Nominal Budget Balance | -100.589000 | 40.062000 | -75.000000 | -85.85 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 79.200000 | 78.700000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Budget Balance | -100.589000 | 40.062000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Net Debt-to-GDP ratio | 65.500000 | 65.000000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Primary Budget Surplus | -16.388000 | 103.689000 | - | - | low |
| Monday, March 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | Bank Lending MoM | - | -0.2 | 0.6 | 0.52 | Low |
| 11:30 | BR | Bank Lending MoM | 0.4 | -0.2 | 0.6 | 0.52 | Low |
| 11:30 | BR | Current Account | - | -8.36 | -5.4 | -6.01 | Low |
| 11:00 | BR | IGP-M Inflation MoM | 0.52 | -0.73 | 0.5 | 0.43 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | Bank Lending MoM | 0.400000 | -0.200000 | 0.600000 | 0.52 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | IGP-M Inflation MoM | 0.520000 | -0.730000 | 0.500000 | 0.43 | low |
| Sunday, March 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical |
| Saturday, March 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical |
| Friday, March 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | Unemployment Rate | 5.8 | 5.4 | 5.7 | 5.75 | Medium |
| 11:30 | BR | Foreign Direct Investment | 6.75 | 8.17 | 7.6 | 7.68 | Low |
| 11:30 | BR | Current Account | -5.61 | -8.36 | -5.4 | -6.01 | Low |
| 11:00 | BR | IGP-M Inflation MoM | - | -0.73 | 0.3 | 0.23 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | 49.200000 | 49.300000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Unemployment Rate | 5.800000 | 5.400000 | 5.700000 | 5.75 | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Current Account | -5.610000 | -8.360000 | -5.400000 | -6.01 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Foreign Direct Investment | 6.750000 | 8.170000 | 7.600000 | 7.68 | low |
| Thursday, March 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | IPCA mid-month CPI YoY | 3.9 | 4.1 | 3.74 | 3.83 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | IPCA mid-month CPI MoM | 0.44 | 0.84 | 0.29 | 0.40 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | CPI MoM | 0.44 | 0.84 | 0.29 | 0.36 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | CPI YoY | 3.9 | 4.1 | 3.74 | 3.82 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | IPCA mid-month CPI MoM | 0.440000 | 0.840000 | 0.290000 | 0.40 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | IPCA mid-month CPI YoY | 3.900000 | 4.100000 | 3.740000 | 3.83 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | CPI YoY | 3.900000 | 4.100000 | 3.740000 | 3.82 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | CPI MoM | 0.440000 | 0.840000 | 0.290000 | 0.36 | low |
| Wednesday, March 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | BR | FGV Consumer Confidence | 88.1 | 86.1 | 83 | 84.38 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | FGV Consumer Confidence | 88.100000 | 86.100000 | 83.000000 | 84.38 | low |
| Tuesday, March 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | Tax Revenue | 222.120000 | 325.750000 | - | - | low |
| Monday, March 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical |
| Sunday, March 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical |
| Saturday, March 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical |
| Friday, March 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 14.750000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | 49.300000 | 51.000000 | - | - | medium |
| Thursday, March 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 14.750000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Wednesday, March 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:30 | BR | Interest Rate Decision | 14.75 | 15 | 14.5 | 14.58 | Medium |
| 14:00 | BR | Business Confidence | 46.6 | 48.2 | 47.5 | 47.10 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | Interest Rate Decision | 14.750000 | 15.000000 | 14.500000 | 14.58 | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Business Confidence | 46.600000 | 48.200000 | 47.500000 | 47.10 | medium |
| Tuesday, March 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | IGP-10 Inflation Index MoM | -0.200000 | -0.400000 | - | - | low |
| Monday, March 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | IBC-BR Economic Activity | 0.8 | -0.2 | 0.85 | 0.87 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | IBC-BR Economic Activity | 0.800000 | -0.200000 | 0.850000 | 0.87 | low |
| Sunday, March 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Saturday, March 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Friday, March 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | 51.000000 | 45.000000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazilian Service Sector Growth MoM | 0.300000 | -0.200000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazilian Service Sector Growth YoY | 3.300000 | 3.600000 | - | - | low |
| Thursday, March 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.33 | 0.65 | 0.69 | Medium |
| 12:00 | BR | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.81 | 4.44 | 3.77 | 3.81 | Medium |
| 12:00 | BR | CPI | 3.81 | 4.44 | 3.77 | 3.79 | Medium |
| 06:00 | BR | CPI | 3.81 | 4.44 | 3.77 | 3.79 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.810000 | 4.440000 | 3.770000 | 3.81 | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.700000 | 0.330000 | 0.650000 | 0.69 | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | CPI | 3.810000 | 4.440000 | 3.770000 | 3.79 | medium |
| Wednesday, March 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | Retail Sales YoY | 2.8 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 2.12 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | Retail Sales MoM | 0.4 | -0.4 | -0.1 | -0.03 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | Retail Sales MoM | 0.400000 | -0.400000 | -0.100000 | -0.03 | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Retail Sales YoY | 2.800000 | 2.400000 | 1.700000 | 2.12 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI | 52.240000 | 52.680000 | - | - | low |
| Tuesday, March 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Monday, March 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Sunday, March 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Saturday, March 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Friday, March 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | BR | New Car Registrations MoM | 8.6 | -39 | 12 | 5.97 | Low |
| 14:00 | BR | Car Production MoM | 24.9 | -13.5 | -4 | 11.73 | Low |
| 14:00 | BR | New Car Sales MoM | 8.6 | -39 | 12 | 17.62 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | Industrial Production MoM | 1.8 | -1.9 | -0.7 | -0.22 | Medium |
| 12:00 | BR | Industrial Production YoY | 0.2 | -0.1 | -1 | -0.70 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | 45.000000 | 36.700000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Car Production MoM | 24.900000 | -13.500000 | -4.000000 | 11.73 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | New Car Registrations MoM | 8.600000 | -39.000000 | 12.000000 | 5.97 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | New Car Sales MoM | 8.600000 | -39.000000 | 12.000000 | 17.62 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Auto Sales MoM | 8.600000 | -39.000000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Auto Production MoM | 24.900000 | -13.500000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Industrial Production YoY | 0.200000 | -0.100000 | -1.000000 | -0.70 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Industrial Production MoM | 1.800000 | -1.900000 | -0.700000 | -0.22 | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | IGP-DI Inflation MoM | -0.840000 | 0.200000 | - | - | low |
| Thursday, March 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | Unemployment Rate | 5.4 | 5.1 | 5.3 | 5.35 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | Unemployment Rate | 5.400000 | 5.100000 | 5.300000 | 5.35 | medium |
| Wednesday, March 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | BR | S&P Global Composite PMI | 51.3 | 49.9 | 50.1 | 50.28 | Low |
| 13:00 | BR | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.1 | 51.3 | 51.5 | 51.63 | Medium |
| 12:00 | BR | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.34 | 0.14 | 0.2 | 0.30 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | Producer Price Index YoY | -4.33 | -4.53 | -5.2 | -5.18 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.100000 | 51.300000 | 51.500000 | 51.63 | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | S&P Global Composite PMI | 51.300000 | 49.900000 | 50.100000 | 50.28 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Producer Price Index YoY | -4.330000 | -4.530000 | -5.200000 | -5.18 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.340000 | 0.140000 | 0.200000 | 0.30 | low |
| Tuesday, March 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:00 | BR | Net Payrolls | 112.33 | -618.16 | 125 | 118.00 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.65 | Medium |
| 12:00 | BR | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium |
| 12:00 | BR | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.80 | Medium |
| 08:00 | BR | IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM | 0.25 | 0.21 | -0.4 | -0.16 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | Net Payrolls | 112.330000 | -618.160000 | 125.000000 | 118.00 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.800000 | 1.800000 | 1.500000 | 1.65 | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.100000 | - | 0.400000 | 0.25 | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.800000 | 1.800000 | 1.800000 | 1.80 | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.100000 | 0.000000 | 0.100000 | 0.10 | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM | 0.250000 | 0.210000 | -0.400000 | -0.16 | low |
| Monday, March 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | BR | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 47.3 | 47 | 47.2 | 47.55 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 47.300000 | 47.000000 | 47.200000 | 47.55 | low |
| Sunday, March 1, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Saturday, February 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Friday, February 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | Unemployment Rate | - | 5.1 | 5.3 | 5.35 | Medium |
| 12:00 | BR | CPI | 0.84 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.62 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | IPCA mid-month CPI YoY | 4.1 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 3.99 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | IPCA mid-month CPI MoM | 0.84 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.61 | Low |
| 11:30 | BR | Budget Balance | 40.062 | -115.502 | 49.5 | NaN | Low |
| 11:30 | BR | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 78.7 | 78.7 | 79 | NaN | Medium |
| 11:30 | BR | Nominal Budget Balance | 40.062 | -115.502 | 54 | 43.15 | Low |
| 11:30 | BR | Gross Debt to GDP | 78.7 | 78.7 | 78.5 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | 36.700000 | 34.700000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | CPI | 0.840000 | 0.200000 | 0.600000 | 0.62 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | IPCA mid-month CPI MoM | 0.840000 | 0.200000 | 0.500000 | 0.61 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | IPCA mid-month CPI YoY | 4.100000 | 4.500000 | 3.900000 | 3.99 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Net Debt-to-GDP ratio | 65.000000 | 65.300000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 78.700000 | 78.700000 | 79.000000 | NaN | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Primary Budget Surplus | 103.689000 | 6.251000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Budget Balance | 40.062000 | -115.502000 | 49.500000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Gross Debt to GDP | 78.700000 | 78.700000 | 78.500000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Nominal Budget Balance | 40.062000 | -115.502000 | 54.000000 | 43.15 | low |
| Thursday, February 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | BR | IGP-M Inflation MoM | -0.73 | 0.41 | -0.3 | -0.36 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | IGP-M Inflation MoM | -0.730000 | 0.410000 | -0.300000 | -0.36 | low |
| Wednesday, February 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | BR | Bank Lending MoM | -0.2 | 1.8 | -0.1 | -0.18 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | Bank Lending MoM | -0.200000 | 1.800000 | -0.100000 | -0.18 | low |
| Tuesday, February 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | BR | Current Account | -8.36 | -3.36 | -5.1 | -5.71 | Low |
| 11:30 | BR | Foreign Direct Investment | 8.17 | -5.25 | 6 | 6.08 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | Foreign Direct Investment | 8.170000 | -5.250000 | 6.000000 | 6.08 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Current Account | -8.360000 | -3.360000 | -5.100000 | -5.71 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Tax Revenue | 325.750000 | 292.720000 | - | - | low |
| Monday, February 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | BR | FGV Consumer Confidence | 86.1 | 87.3 | 88 | 89.38 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | FGV Consumer Confidence | 86.100000 | 87.300000 | 88.000000 | 89.38 | low |
| Sunday, February 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Saturday, February 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Friday, February 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | 34.700000 | 31.600000 | - | - | medium |
| Thursday, February 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:30 | BR | Business Confidence | - | 48.5 | 48.8 | 48.40 | Medium |
| 16:25 | BR | Business Confidence | 48.2 | 48.5 | 48.8 | 48.40 | Medium |
| 12:00 | BR | IBC-BR Economic Activity | -0.2 | 0.7 | -0.4 | -0.38 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | Business Confidence | 48.200000 | 48.500000 | 48.800000 | 48.40 | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | IBC-BR Economic Activity | -0.200000 | 0.700000 | -0.400000 | -0.38 | low |
| Wednesday, February 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Tuesday, February 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Monday, February 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Sunday, February 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Saturday, February 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Friday, February 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | Retail Sales YoY | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 2.42 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | Retail Sales MoM | -0.4 | 1 | 0.2 | 0.27 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | 31.600000 | 31.000000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Retail Sales MoM | -0.400000 | 1.000000 | 0.200000 | 0.27 | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Retail Sales YoY | 2.300000 | 1.500000 | 2.000000 | 2.42 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | IGP-10 Inflation Index MoM | -0.400000 | 0.300000 | - | - | low |
| Thursday, February 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazilian Service Sector Growth MoM | -0.400000 | 0.000000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazilian Service Sector Growth YoY | 3.400000 | 2.700000 | - | - | low |
| Wednesday, February 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | Producer Price Index YoY | -4.53 | -3.38 | -4 | -3.98 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.12 | -0.35 | -0.2 | -0.10 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI | 52.680000 | 55.140000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.120000 | -0.350000 | -0.200000 | -0.10 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Producer Price Index YoY | -4.530000 | -3.380000 | -4.000000 | -3.98 | low |
| Tuesday, February 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | BR | Car Production MoM | - | -15.8 | -9 | 6.73 | Low |
| 13:00 | BR | New Car Registrations MoM | - | 17.1 | -9.6 | -15.63 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | CPI | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.34 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.44 | 4.26 | 4.4 | 4.44 | Medium |
| 12:00 | BR | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.2 | 0.23 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.330000 | 0.330000 | 0.200000 | 0.23 | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.440000 | 4.260000 | 4.400000 | 4.44 | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazilian IPCA Inflation Index SA MoM | 0.330000 | 0.260000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | BR | CPI | 0.330000 | 0.330000 | 0.320000 | 0.34 | low |
| Monday, February 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Sunday, February 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Saturday, February 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Friday, February 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | BR | New Car Registrations MoM | -39 | 17.1 | -9.6 | -15.63 | Low |
| 14:00 | BR | Car Production MoM | -13.5 | -15.8 | -9 | 6.73 | Low |
| 13:00 | BR | New Car Registrations MoM | - | 17.1 | -9.6 | -15.63 | Low |
| 13:00 | BR | Car Production MoM | - | -15.8 | -9 | 6.73 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | 31.000000 | 18.800000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Car Production MoM | -13.500000 | -15.800000 | -9.000000 | 6.73 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | New Car Registrations MoM | -39.000000 | 17.100000 | -9.600000 | -15.63 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Auto Production MoM | -13.500000 | -15.800000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Auto Sales MoM | -39.000000 | 17.100000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | BR | IGP-DI Inflation MoM | 0.200000 | 0.100000 | - | - | low |
| Thursday, February 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 18:05 | BR | Balance of Trade | 4.34 | 9.63 | 5.9 | 5.21 | Medium |
| 18:00 | BR | Balance of Trade | 4.34 | 9.63 | 5.9 | 5.21 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | Balance of Trade | 4.340000 | 9.630000 | 5.900000 | 5.21 | medium |
| Wednesday, February 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | BR | S&P Global Composite PMI | 49.9 | 52.1 | 52 | 52.18 | Low |
| 13:00 | BR | S&P Global Services PMI | 51.3 | 53.7 | 53 | 53.13 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | S&P Global Services PMI | 51.300000 | 53.700000 | 53.000000 | 53.13 | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | S&P Global Composite PMI | 49.900000 | 52.100000 | 52.000000 | 52.18 | low |
| Tuesday, February 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | Industrial Production MoM | -1.2 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 0.18 | Medium |
| 12:00 | BR | Industrial Production YoY | 0.4 | -1.4 | -1.5 | -1.20 | Low |
| 08:00 | BR | IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM | 0.21 | 0.32 | 0.3 | 0.54 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | Industrial Production YoY | 0.400000 | -1.400000 | -1.500000 | -1.20 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Industrial Production MoM | -1.200000 | -0.200000 | -0.300000 | 0.18 | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM | 0.210000 | 0.320000 | 0.300000 | 0.54 | low |
| Monday, February 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | BR | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 47 | 47.6 | 47.8 | 48.15 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 47.000000 | 47.600000 | 47.800000 | 48.15 | low |
| Sunday, February 1, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Trade Balance | 3507.500000 | 2990.700000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Unemployment Rate | 5.800000 | 5.400000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil IPCA Inflation 12-Month | 3.810000 | 4.440000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil GDP Growth Rate | 1042272.600000 | 1023703.200000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil IPCA Inflation Monthly | 0.700000 | 0.330000 | - | - | critical |
| Saturday, January 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Friday, January 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | Unemployment Rate | 5.1 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.25 | Medium |
| 11:30 | BR | Gross Debt to GDP | 78.7 | 79 | 79.2 | NaN | Low |
| 11:30 | BR | Budget Balance | -115.502 | -101.6 | -95.4 | NaN | Low |
| 11:30 | BR | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 78.7 | 79 | 79.5 | NaN | Medium |
| 11:30 | BR | Nominal Budget Balance | -115.502 | -101.6 | -82 | -92.85 | Low |
| 11:00 | BR | IGP-M Inflation MoM | 0.41 | -0.01 | 0.1 | 0.04 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | 18.800000 | 17.600000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Unemployment Rate | 5.100000 | 5.200000 | 5.200000 | 5.25 | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Gross Debt to GDP | 78.700000 | 79.000000 | 79.200000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 78.700000 | 79.000000 | 79.500000 | NaN | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Budget Balance | -115.502000 | -101.600000 | -95.400000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Primary Budget Surplus | 6.251000 | -14.400000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Net Debt-to-GDP ratio | 65.300000 | 65.200000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Nominal Budget Balance | -115.502000 | -101.600000 | -82.000000 | -92.85 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | IGP-M Inflation MoM | 0.410000 | -0.010000 | 0.100000 | 0.04 | low |
| Thursday, January 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 18:50 | BR | Net Payrolls | -618.16 | 85.86 | -450 | -457.00 | Low |
| 17:30 | BR | Net Payrolls | -618.16 | 85.86 | -450 | -457.00 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | IGP-M Inflation MoM | 0.41 | -0.01 | 0.1 | 0.04 | Low |
| 11:30 | BR | Bank Lending MoM | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.72 | Low |
| 11:00 | BR | IGP-M Inflation MoM | 0.41 | -0.01 | 0.1 | 0.04 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | Net Payrolls | -618.160000 | 85.860000 | -450.000000 | -457.00 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Bank Lending MoM | 1.800000 | 0.900000 | 0.800000 | 0.72 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | IGP-M Inflation MoM | 0.410000 | -0.010000 | 0.100000 | 0.04 | low |
| Wednesday, January 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:30 | BR | Interest Rate Decision | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15.08 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | Interest Rate Decision | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | 15.08 | medium |
| Tuesday, January 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | CPI | 4.5 | 4.41 | 4.52 | 4.54 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | IPCA mid-month CPI YoY | 4.5 | 4.41 | 4.4 | 4.49 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | IPCA mid-month CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.25 | 0.4 | 0.51 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | CPI | 4.500000 | 4.410000 | 4.520000 | 4.54 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | IPCA mid-month CPI MoM | 0.200000 | 0.250000 | 0.400000 | 0.51 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | IPCA mid-month CPI YoY | 4.500000 | 4.410000 | 4.400000 | 4.49 | low |
| Monday, January 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | BR | Foreign Direct Investment | -5.25 | 9.82 | 0.5 | 0.58 | Low |
| 11:30 | BR | Current Account | -3.36 | -4.94 | -3.5 | -4.11 | Low |
| 11:00 | BR | FGV Consumer Confidence | 87.3 | 90.2 | 89 | 90.38 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | Current Account | -3.360000 | -4.940000 | -3.500000 | -4.11 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Foreign Direct Investment | -5.250000 | 9.820000 | 0.500000 | 0.58 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | FGV Consumer Confidence | 87.300000 | 90.200000 | 89.000000 | 90.38 | low |
| Sunday, January 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Saturday, January 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Friday, January 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | IPCA mid-month CPI MoM | - | 0.25 | 0.4 | 0.51 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | IPCA mid-month CPI YoY | - | 4.41 | 4.4 | 4.49 | Low |
| 11:30 | BR | Foreign Direct Investment | - | 9.82 | 9.6 | 9.68 | Low |
| 11:30 | BR | Current Account | - | -4.94 | -3.5 | -4.11 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Thursday, January 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Wednesday, January 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Tuesday, January 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Monday, January 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Sunday, January 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Saturday, January 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Friday, January 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | Producer Price Index MoM | -0.37 | -0.47 | -0.3 | -0.20 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | IBC-BR Economic Activity | 0.7 | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.12 | Low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | 17.900000 | 17.600000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | IBC-BR Economic Activity | 0.700000 | -0.200000 | 0.100000 | 0.12 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Producer Price Index YoY | -3.380000 | - | -3.300000 | -3.28 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Producer Price Index MoM | -0.370000 | -0.470000 | -0.300000 | -0.20 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | IGP-10 Inflation Index MoM | 0.300000 | 0.000000 | - | - | low |
| Thursday, January 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:20 | BR | Car Production MoM | -15.8 | -11.6 | 5.1 | 20.83 | Low |
| 13:20 | BR | New Car Registrations MoM | 17.1 | -8.5 | 4.4 | -1.63 | Low |
| 13:00 | BR | Car Production MoM | - | -11.6 | 5.1 | 20.83 | Low |
| 13:00 | BR | New Car Registrations MoM | - | -8.5 | 4.4 | -1.63 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | Retail Sales YoY | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.92 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | Retail Sales MoM | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.57 | Medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | New Car Registrations MoM | 17.100000 | -8.500000 | 4.400000 | -1.63 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Car Production MoM | -15.800000 | -11.600000 | 5.100000 | 20.83 | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Auto Sales MoM | 17.100000 | -8.500000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Auto Production MoM | -15.800000 | -11.600000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Retail Sales MoM | 1.000000 | 0.500000 | 0.500000 | 0.57 | medium |
| 00:00 | BR | Retail Sales YoY | 1.300000 | 0.900000 | 0.500000 | 0.92 | low |
| Wednesday, January 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI | 55.140000 | 53.150000 | - | - | low |
| Tuesday, January 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazilian Service Sector Growth MoM | -0.100000 | 0.400000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | BR | Brazilian Service Sector Growth YoY | 2.500000 | 2.100000 | - | - | low |
| Monday, January 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Sunday, January 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BR | Brazil Selic Rate | 15.000000 | 15.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Sunday, January 1, 2023 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 4.25 | 4.25 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Real interest rate (%) | 37.21 | 37.21 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP (current US$) | 2173665655937.30 | 2173665655937.30 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Labor force, total | 106131599.00 | 106131599.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -1.42 | -1.42 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Lending interest rate (%) | 43.60 | 43.60 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP growth (annual %) | 2.91 | 2.91 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 83.70 | 83.70 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 18.11 | 18.11 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 213.88 | 213.88 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Population, total | 216422446.00 | 216422446.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 15.74 | 15.74 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 4.59 | 4.59 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 7.95 | 7.95 | - | - | Medium |
| Saturday, January 1, 2022 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 5.06 | 5.06 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Real interest rate (%) | 28.40 | 28.40 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP (current US$) | 1951923942083.30 | 1951923942083.30 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Labor force, total | 106313533.00 | 106313533.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -2.47 | -2.47 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | New businesses registered (number) | 767491.00 | 767491.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Lending interest rate (%) | 39.40 | 39.40 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP growth (annual %) | 3.02 | 3.02 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 79.10 | 79.10 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 19.63 | 19.63 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 204.48 | 204.48 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.63 | 1.63 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 19.19 | 19.19 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Population, total | 215313498.00 | 215313498.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 9.28 | 9.28 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 9.23 | 9.23 | - | - | Medium |
| Friday, January 1, 2021 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 13.16 | 13.16 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Physicians (per 1,000 people) | 2.14 | 2.14 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 7.52 | 7.52 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Real interest rate (%) | 15.01 | 15.01 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP (current US$) | 1670647399034.70 | 1670647399034.70 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Labor force, total | 103775454.00 | 103775454.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 2.46 | 2.46 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -2.77 | -2.77 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | New businesses registered (number) | 745782.00 | 745782.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Lending interest rate (%) | 30.02 | 30.02 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP growth (annual %) | 4.76 | 4.76 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 85.01 | 85.01 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 19.11 | 19.11 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Primary government expenditures as a proportion of original approved budget (%) | 100.83 | 100.83 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 187.12 | 187.12 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.64 | 1.64 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 18.55 | 18.55 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Population, total | 214326223.00 | 214326223.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 8.30 | 8.30 | - | - | Medium |
| Wednesday, January 1, 2020 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 15.85 | 15.85 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Population, total | 213196304.00 | 213196304.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 3.21 | 3.21 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Human Capital Index (HCI) (scale 0-1) | 0.55 | 0.55 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 13.70 | 13.70 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 7.43 | 7.43 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Real interest rate (%) | 21.20 | 21.20 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP (current US$) | 1476107231194.10 | 1476107231194.10 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Armed forces personnel, total | 762000.00 | 762000.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Labor force, total | 99689363.00 | 99689363.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 2.43 | 2.43 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -1.91 | -1.91 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | New businesses registered (number) | 565429.00 | 565429.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Lending interest rate (%) | 29.04 | 29.04 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP growth (annual %) | -3.28 | -3.28 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 98.71 | 98.71 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 16.45 | 16.45 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Primary government expenditures as a proportion of original approved budget (%) | 119.78 | 119.78 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 172.77 | 172.77 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.65 | 1.65 | - | - | Medium |
| Tuesday, January 1, 2019 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Primary government expenditures as a proportion of original approved budget (%) | 94.28 | 94.28 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 167.40 | 167.40 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.70 | 1.70 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 14.77 | 14.77 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Population, total | 211782878.00 | 211782878.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 3.73 | 3.73 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 11.94 | 11.94 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Physicians (per 1,000 people) | 2.30 | 2.30 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 6.73 | 6.73 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Real interest rate (%) | 31.90 | 31.90 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Armed forces personnel, total | 762000.00 | 762000.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP (current US$) | 1873288205186.40 | 1873288205186.40 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Labor force, total | 105907298.00 | 105907298.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 2.24 | 2.24 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -3.63 | -3.63 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | New businesses registered (number) | 484996.00 | 484996.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Lending interest rate (%) | 37.48 | 37.48 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Time required to start a business (days) | 16.60 | 16.60 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Time required to build a warehouse (days) | 338.37 | 338.37 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP growth (annual %) | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 92.57 | 92.57 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 14.12 | 14.12 | - | - | Medium |
| Monday, January 1, 2018 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Time required to build a warehouse (days) | 338.37 | 338.37 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP growth (annual %) | 1.78 | 1.78 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 86.61 | 86.61 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 14.63 | 14.63 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Primary government expenditures as a proportion of original approved budget (%) | 92.52 | 92.52 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 161.37 | 161.37 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.75 | 1.75 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Human Capital Index (HCI) (scale 0-1) | 0.55 | 0.55 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 14.24 | 14.24 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Population, total | 210166592.00 | 210166592.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 3.66 | 3.66 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 12.33 | 12.33 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 6.76 | 6.76 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Real interest rate (%) | 33.10 | 33.10 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Armed forces personnel, total | 761500.00 | 761500.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP (current US$) | 1916933898038.40 | 1916933898038.40 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Labor force, total | 104115637.00 | 104115637.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | New businesses registered (number) | 414854.00 | 414854.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 2.26 | 2.26 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -2.86 | -2.86 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Lending interest rate (%) | 39.08 | 39.08 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Time required to start a business (days) | 20.10 | 20.10 | - | - | Medium |
| Sunday, January 1, 2017 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BRABRA | New businesses registered (number) | 370558.00 | 370558.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 2.30 | 2.30 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -1.23 | -1.23 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Lending interest rate (%) | 46.92 | 46.92 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Time required to start a business (days) | 82.50 | 82.50 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Time required to build a warehouse (days) | 338.37 | 338.37 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 83.67 | 83.67 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP growth (annual %) | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 12.52 | 12.52 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Primary government expenditures as a proportion of original approved budget (%) | 91.00 | 91.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 155.67 | 155.67 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Fertility rate, total (births per woman) | 1.74 | 1.74 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Human Capital Index (HCI) (scale 0-1) | 0.56 | 0.56 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 11.80 | 11.80 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Population, total | 208504960.00 | 208504960.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Physicians (per 1,000 people) | 2.16 | 2.16 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 3.45 | 3.45 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 12.79 | 12.79 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 6.93 | 6.93 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Real interest rate (%) | 41.71 | 41.71 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Armed forces personnel, total | 730000.00 | 730000.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | GDP (current US$) | 2063514977334.30 | 2063514977334.30 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Labor force, total | 102922846.00 | 102922846.00 | - | - | Medium |
| Friday, January 1, 2016 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Labor force, total | 101235794.00 | 101235794.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | New businesses registered (number) | 342939.00 | 342939.00 | - | - | Medium |
| 00:00 | BRABRA | Hospital beds (per 1,000 people) | 2.32 | 2.32 | - | - | Medium |