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Gross Debt to GDP climbed to 80.1 in March 2026, up 0.9 from February's 79.2 reading. The reading matched expectations. Gross Debt to GDP has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Gross Debt to GDP averaged 78.87, vs 78.8 in the prior 3-month window. Gross Debt to GDP is now the highest in 36 months.
The April 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 79.2. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Bovespa (Bullish Bovespa) and positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU).
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| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 0.2 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low | ||
| 12:00 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.6 | 0 | 0.00 | Medium | ||