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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil Gross Domestic Product MoM climbed to 80.4% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Brazil Gross Domestic Product MoM climbed to 80.4% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 0.4% from March's 80.0% reading. The reading matched the 80.3% consensus. Gross Domestic Product MoM has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Gross Domestic Product MoM averaged 79.65%, vs 78.8% in the prior 3-month window. Gross Domestic Product MoM is now the highest in 14 months.
Latest Release
80.4
Actual
80.3
Consensus
80
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.45 percentage points
across last 9 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 80.3
Actual: 80.4
Error: -0.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.71 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.64 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| USD/BRL | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product MoM (Brazil) was reported at 80.4% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 80.3% by 0.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 80%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 78.23%, ranging from 76.1% to 80.4% across 11 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 79.43%, up from the prior three at 78.77%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU). Over the last 9 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.45%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 17) and CFTC BRL speculative net positions (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product MoM - BR
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About Gross Domestic Product MoM — Brazil
DEFINITION
Brazil's Gross Domestic Product MoM for May registered at 80.400000%, slightly above the 80.300000% estimate. This marks an increase from April's 80.100000%, indicating continued economic expansion. Market participants will watch upcoming data for confirmation of this growth trend amid stable central bank policies. Updated 5/29/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 80.4 %, consensus 80.3 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 80.1 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 79.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR, r=0.71) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.