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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil Gross Domestic Product MoM climbed to 82.9% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Brazil Gross Domestic Product MoM climbed to 82.9% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.4% from July's 82.5% reading. The reading matched the 83.1% consensus. Gross Domestic Product MoM has now risen for 8 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Gross Domestic Product MoM averaged 82.2%, vs 80.53% in the prior 3-month window. Gross Domestic Product MoM is now the highest in 18 months.
Latest Release
82.9
Actual
83.1
Consensus
82.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.36 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 83.27
Actual: 82.9
Error: +0.37
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.86 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.67 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| USD/BRL | ▼ Inverse | −0.57 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.47 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Bovespa | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product MoM (Brazil) was reported at 82.9% in October 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 80.33%, ranging from 78.1% to 82.9% across 12 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 82.77%, up from the prior three at 81.13%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.76%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.73%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.36%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC BRL speculative net positions (Oct 30) and BCB Focus Market Readout (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product MoM - BR
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About Gross Domestic Product MoM — Brazil
DEFINITION
Brazil's Gross Domestic Product MoM held steady at 82.900000% in September, unchanged from August's 82.900000%. The data signals a plateau in monthly economic growth after a steady rise from 78.7% in January. Market participants will watch upcoming releases for signs of renewed momentum or further stabilization. Updated 10/29/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 82.9 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 82.9 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 82.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR, r=0.86) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - BR Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | BR | IGP-M Inflation MoM | 1.47 | 1.57 | 1.6 | 1.54 | Low |
| 11:30 | BR | Bank Lending MoM | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.70 | Low |
| 17:00 | BR | Gross Debt to GDP | 82.9 | 82.9 | 83.5 | 83.37 | Low |
| 18:30 | BR | Gross Debt to GDP | 82.9 | 82.9 | 83.5 | 83.37 | Low |