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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CanadaCanada GDP growth (annual %) fell to 1.07 Percentage (%) in January 2023
World BankYearlyReleased January 2023
Canada GDP growth (annual %) fell to 1.07 Percentage (%) in January 2023, down 2.75 Percentage (%) from December's 3.82 Percentage (%) reading.
Latest Release
1.07
Latest (2023)
3.82
Previous
World Bank
Source
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| CAD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| WTI Crude | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth (Annual %) (Canada) was reported at 1.74 Percent in December 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.05 Percent. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.91 Percent, up from the prior three at 1.70 Percent. In December readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth (Annual %) has averaged 1.91 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/CAD (Bullish CAD). A secondary relationship exists with CAD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish CAD).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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GDP growth (annual %) - CA
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About GDP growth (annual %) — Canada
DEFINITION
Canada's GDP Growth (Annual %) for 2025 came in at 1.742685%, down from 2.046266% in 2024, indicating a slowdown in economic expansion. The annual growth rate contracted compared to the previous year, reflecting softer momentum in the Canadian economy. Market participants will watch upcoming data for further clarity on growth trends amid evolving monetary policy. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CAD (Bullish CAD, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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