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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ChileChile Copper Production YoY climbed to 5.1% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Chile Copper Production YoY climbed to 5.1% in June 2026, released July 2026, up 18.0% from May's -12.9% reading. The print exceeded the -10.0% consensus by 15.1%. Copper Production YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Copper Production YoY averaged -13.35%, vs -5.6% in the prior 3-month window. Copper Production YoY is now the highest in 12 months.
Latest Release
5.1
Actual
-10
Consensus
-12.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±7.4 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: -21.4
Actual: -12.9
Error: -8.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Copper Production YoY (Chile) was reported at 5.1% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of -10% by 15.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of -12.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -6.68%, ranging from -13.8% to 0.3% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -10.5%, down from the prior three at -4.97%. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.99%) is lower than the prior year (σ 5.97%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Copper Production YoY has averaged 1.53%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 7.4%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Copper Production YoY - CL
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About Copper Production YoY — Chile
DEFINITION
Copper Production YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the amount of copper produced by a company or industry. It provides insight into the growth or decline of copper production, which can be a key factor in the overall performance and profitability of the company or industry. This indicator is commonly used by investors and analysts to assess the health and potential of the copper market.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 5.1 %, consensus -10 %. Prior reading (May 2026): -12.9 %. Before that (Apr 2026): -13.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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