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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ChinaChina GDP growth (annual %) climbed to 5.2 Percentage (%) in January 2023
World BankYearlyReleased January 2023
China GDP growth (annual %) climbed to 5.2 Percentage (%) in January 2023, up 2.21 Percentage (%) from December's 2.99 Percentage (%) reading.
Latest Release
5.20
Latest (2023)
2.99
Previous
World Bank
Source
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CNY | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| Copper | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth (Annual %) (China) was reported at 4.96 Percent in December 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of 4.96 Percent. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 5.11 Percent, up from the prior three at 4.68 Percent. In December readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth (Annual %) has averaged 5.11 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/CNY (Bullish CNY). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/USD, positively correlated (Bullish AUD).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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GDP growth (annual %) - CN
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About GDP growth (annual %) — China
DEFINITION
China's GDP Growth (Annual %) for 2025 came in at 4.959949%, slightly above 2024's 4.958304%. This marginal increase signals a stable growth trajectory following 2024's 4.96% pace. Market participants will watch upcoming economic data for confirmation of sustained momentum amid steady policy conditions. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CNY (Bullish CNY, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - CN Events
| Monday, July 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | CN | Prime Rate | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| 01:15 | CN | Loan Prime Rate 5Y | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Medium |
| 01:15 | CN | Loan Prime Rate 1Y | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |