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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ColombiaColombia Cement Production YoY fell to 2.0% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Colombia Cement Production YoY fell to 2.0% in September 2026, released October 2026, down 0.9% from August's 2.9% reading. The print exceeded the 1.7% consensus by 0.3%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 2.93%. Over the past 3 months, Cement Production YoY averaged 0.83%, vs 5.7% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 42nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
2
Actual
1.7
Consensus
2.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.53 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: -2.38
Actual: 2.9
Error: -5.28
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Cement Production YoY (Colombia) was reported at 2% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.7% by 0.3%. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.63%, ranging from -4.5% to 9.9% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.9%, down from the prior three at 3.83%. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.6%) is lower than the prior year (σ 19.19%). In September readings over the past 3 years, Cement Production YoY has averaged 3.78%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.53%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 30, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Cement Production YoY - CO
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About Cement Production YoY — Colombia
DEFINITION
Cement Production YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the amount of cement produced by a country or region. This indicator is used to assess the growth or decline of the construction industry, as cement is a key component in building projects. It is also a reflection of the overall economic health and development of a country, as increased cement production is often associated with increased infrastructure and development. Investors and policymakers use this indicator to make informed decisions about the state of the economy and potential investment opportunities.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 2 %, consensus 1.7 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 2 %. Before that (Aug 2026): 2.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.46) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - CO Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | CO | Unemployment Rate | 8 | 9.4 | 9.2 | 8.60 | Low |
| 18:00 | CO | Interest Rate Decision | 12.25 | 12.25 | 12.25 | 12.25 | Low |
| 19:00 | CO | Cement Production YoY | 2 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 1.85 | Low |
| 19:25 | CO | Cement Production YoY | 2 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 1.85 | Low |