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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Czech RepublicCzech Republic External Debt climbed to 234.39B in October 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
Czech Republic External Debt climbed to 234.39B in October 2025, released March 2026, up 6.14B from September's 228.25B reading. The reading matched the 225B consensus. External Debt has now risen for 11 consecutive months. External Debt is now the highest in 100 months.
Latest Release
234.39
Actual
225
Consensus
228.25
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±5.25 billion
across last 10 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 225
Actual: 234.39
Error: -9.39
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
External Debt (Czech Republic) was reported at 234.39 billion in March 2026. This beat the market consensus of 225.00 billion by 9.39 billion. The reading rose from the previous value of 228.25 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 226.27 billion, up from the prior three at 207.75 billion. In March readings over the past 3 years, External Debt has averaged 210.21 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 10 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 5.25 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 22, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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External Debt - CZ
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About External Debt — Czech Republic
DEFINITION
External debt is a financial indicator that measures the amount of money a country owes to foreign creditors. It includes both public and private debt and is an important measure of a country's financial stability and ability to repay its debts. This indicator is closely monitored by governments, investors, and international organizations to assess a country's economic health and potential risks. A high external debt can indicate a heavy reliance on foreign borrowing and may pose challenges for a country's economic growth and development.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2025): actual 234.4 B, consensus 225 B. Prior reading (Jul 2025): 228.1 B. Before that (Apr 2025): 216.4 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.