Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Czech RepublicCzech Republic GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 1.6% in July 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased October 2026
Czech Republic GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 1.6% in July 2026, released October 2026, down 0.2% from June's 1.8% reading. The reading missed the 1.7% consensus by 0.1%. GDP Growth Rate YoY has now declined for 5 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, GDP Growth Rate YoY averaged 1.85%, vs 2.13% in the prior 3-month window. GDP Growth Rate YoY is now the lowest in 21 months.
Latest Release
1.6
Actual
1.7
Consensus
1.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.07 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 1.65
Actual: 1.6
Error: +0.05
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.53 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Czech Republic) was reported at 1.6% in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1.7% by 0.1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.27%, ranging from 1.6% to 2.8% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.77%, down from the prior three at 2.13%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.4%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.47%). In October readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate YoY has averaged 1.55%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.07%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
SHARE
GDP Growth Rate YoY - CZ
Loading chart data...
About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Czech Republic
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 1.6 %, consensus 1.7 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 1.9 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.53) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - CZ Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:30 | CZ | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 53.5 | 53.3 | 52.45 | Low | |
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | CZ | Inflation Rate MoM | 0 | 0.5 | 0.45 | Low | |
| 08:00 | CZ | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.50 | Low | |