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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Czech RepublicCzech Republic GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 1.9% in April 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased September 2026
Czech Republic GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 1.9% in April 2026, released September 2026, down 0.3% from March's 2.2% reading. The reading missed the 2.0% consensus by 0.1%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 2.42%. Over the past 3 months, GDP Growth Rate YoY averaged 1.95%, vs 2.17% in the prior 3-month window. GDP Growth Rate YoY is now the lowest in 17 months.
Latest Release
1.9
Actual
2
Consensus
2.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.07 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 1.93
Actual: 1.9
Error: +0.03
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Czech Republic) was reported at 1.9% in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 2% by 0.1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.4%, ranging from 1.9% to 2.8% across 12 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.93%, down from the prior three at 2.37%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.33%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.56%). In September readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate YoY has averaged 1.3%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.07%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 30, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - CZ
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About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Czech Republic
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1.9 %, consensus 1.9 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 2 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - CZ Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | CZ | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low |
| 07:00 | CZ | Producer Price Index YoY | 2 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.90 | Low |