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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Czech RepublicCzech Republic M3 Money Supply YoY fell to 5.7% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Czech Republic M3 Money Supply YoY fell to 5.7% in July 2026, released August 2026, down 0.6% from June's 6.3% reading. The reading matched the 6.0% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 4.65%. Over the past 3 months, M3 Money Supply YoY averaged 5.65%, vs 5.43% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 81st percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
5.7
Actual
6
Consensus
6.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.8 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 6.08
Actual: 5.7
Error: +0.38
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
M3 Money Supply YoY (Czech Republic) was reported at 5.7% in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 6% by 0.3%. The reading fell from the previous value of 6.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 4.83%, ranging from 3.3% to 6.3% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 5.67%, up from the prior three at 5.47%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.94%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.09%). In August readings over the past 3 years, M3 Money Supply YoY has averaged 4.97%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.8%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 30, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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M3 Money Supply YoY - CZ
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About M3 Money Supply YoY — Czech Republic
DEFINITION
M3 Money Supply YoY is a financial indicator that measures the annual change in the total amount of money in circulation within an economy. It includes all forms of money, such as cash, deposits, and other liquid assets. This indicator is used by economists and policymakers to assess the overall health and stability of a country's monetary system and to make informed decisions regarding monetary policy. A positive YoY change in M3 Money Supply indicates an increase in liquidity and potential for economic growth, while a negative change may signal potential inflationary pressures.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 5.7 %, consensus 6 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 6.3 %. Before that (May 2026): 5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - CZ Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | CZ | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low |
| 07:00 | CZ | Producer Price Index YoY | 2 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.90 | Low |
| Thursday, September 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | CZ | Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | Low | |
| Monday, September 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | CZ | External Debt | 238.12 | 239.7 | 240.06 | Low | |