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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GermanyGermany Import Prices YoY climbed to 6.8% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Germany Import Prices YoY climbed to 6.8% in July 2026, released August 2026, up 0.7% from June's 6.1% reading. The reading missed the 7.2% consensus by 0.4%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.53%. Over the past 3 months, Import Prices YoY averaged 6.45%, vs 1.77% in the prior 3-month window. Import Prices YoY is now the highest in 36 months.
Latest Release
6.8
Actual
7.2
Consensus
6.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.19 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 7.28
Actual: 6.8
Error: +0.48
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.25 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Import Prices YoY (Germany) was reported at 6.8% in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 7.2% by 0.4%. The reading rose from the previous value of 6.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.12%, ranging from -2.3% to 6.8% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 6.57%, up from the prior three at 0.23%. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.92%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.75%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Import Prices YoY has averaged 2.1%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bearish FTSE 100). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.19%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Wholesale Prices MoM (Sep 15) and Wholesale Prices YoY (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Import Prices YoY - DE
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About Import Prices YoY — Germany
DEFINITION
Import Prices YoY is a financial indicator that measures the change in the prices of goods and services imported into a country over a period of one year. This indicator is used to track the impact of international trade on a country's economy and can provide valuable insights into inflation and the strength of the domestic currency. It is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to assess the competitiveness of a country's imports and its overall economic health.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 6.8 %, consensus 7.2 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 6.1 %. Before that (May 2026): 6.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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Economic Calendar - DE Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | DE | Wholesale Prices MoM | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | DE | Wholesale Prices YoY | 5.3 | 6.2 | 6.20 | Medium | |
| 09:00 | DE | ZEW Economic Sentiment Index | 34.2 | 37 | 45.25 | High | |
| 09:00 | DE | ZEW Current Conditions | -61.1 | -52.2 | -53.70 | Low | |
| 09:00 | DE | Economic Sentiment | 34.2 | 42.7 | 50.85 | Medium | |