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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GermanyGermany Import Prices YoY climbed to 10.4% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Germany Import Prices YoY climbed to 10.4% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 2.1% from August's 8.3% reading. The reading matched the 10.3% consensus. Import Prices YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Import Prices YoY averaged 7.55%, vs 6.07% in the prior 3-month window. Import Prices YoY is now the highest in 36 months.
Latest Release
10.4
Actual
10.3
Consensus
8.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.2 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 7.93
Actual: 8.3
Error: -0.38
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.47 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Import Prices YoY (Germany) was reported at 10.4% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 10.3% by 0.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 8.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.01%, ranging from -2.3% to 8.3% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 7.07%, up from the prior three at 3.27%. Volatility over the past year (σ 4.31%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.83%). In September readings over the past 3 years, Import Prices YoY has averaged 2.33%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bearish FTSE 100). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/GBP, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.2%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Oct 30) and Inflation Rate MoM (Oct 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Import Prices YoY - DE
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About Import Prices YoY — Germany
DEFINITION
Import Prices YoY is a financial indicator that measures the change in the prices of goods and services imported into a country over a period of one year. This indicator is used to track the impact of international trade on a country's economy and can provide valuable insights into inflation and the strength of the domestic currency. It is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to assess the competitiveness of a country's imports and its overall economic health.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 10.4 %, consensus 10.3 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 8.3 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 6.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with FTSE 100 (Bearish FTSE 100, r=-0.47) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - DE Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | DE | Import Prices MoM | 2.1 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.95 | Low |
| 07:00 | DE | Import Prices YoY | 10.4 | 8.3 | 10.3 | 10.35 | Low |
| 08:55 | DE | Unemployment Rate | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.43 | High |
| 08:55 | DE | Unemployed Persons | 3.016 | 3.012 | 3.017 | 3.02 | Medium |
| 08:55 | DE | Employment Change | 4 | 12 | 5 | 5.00 | High |
| 09:00 | DE | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.15 | High |
| 09:00 | DE | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.2 | 1 | 1.1 | 1.15 | High |