Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GermanyGermany Import Prices YoY climbed to 5.3% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Germany Import Prices YoY climbed to 5.3% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 3.0% from March's 2.3% reading. The reading matched the 5.3% consensus. Import Prices YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Import Prices YoY averaged 0.0%, vs -2.17% in the prior 3-month window. Import Prices YoY is now the highest in 36 months.
Latest Release
5.3
Actual
5.3
Consensus
2.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.19 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 5.2
Actual: 5.3
Error: -0.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | INDEX | Bearish FTSE 100 | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Import Prices YoY (Germany) was reported at 5.3% in May 2026. This matched the market consensus of 5.3% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -1.03%, ranging from -2.3% to 5.3% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.23%, up from the prior three at -1.87%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.05%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.49%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Import Prices YoY has averaged 1.07%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bearish FTSE 100). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.19%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Wholesale Prices MoM (Jun 15) and Wholesale Prices YoY (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
SHARE
Import Prices YoY - DE
Loading chart data...
About Import Prices YoY — Germany
DEFINITION
Import Prices YoY is a financial indicator that measures the change in the prices of goods and services imported into a country over a period of one year. This indicator is used to track the impact of international trade on a country's economy and can provide valuable insights into inflation and the strength of the domestic currency. It is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to assess the competitiveness of a country's imports and its overall economic health.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 5.3 %, consensus 5.3 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 2.3 %. Before that (Feb 2026): -2.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.