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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance Consumer Confidence held to 86.0% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
France Consumer Confidence held to 86.0% in August 2026. The reading matched the 87.0% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 1.0%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged 85.0%, vs 85.0% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 17th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
86
Actual
87
Consensus
86
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 87.17
Actual: 86
Error: +1.17
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.41 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| CAC 40 | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (France) was reported at 86% in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 87% by 1%. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 87.64%, ranging from 82% to 91% across 11 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 85.33%, down from the prior three at 87.33%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.74%) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.49%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged 88.33%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/GBP (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 24, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep 23) and S&P Global Services PMI (Sep 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - FR
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About Consumer Confidence — France
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 86 %, consensus 87 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 86 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 84 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/GBP (Bullish EUR, r=0.46) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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