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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
NetherlandsNetherlands Consumer Confidence fell to -34.0% in October 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Netherlands Consumer Confidence fell to -34.0% in October 2026, down 1.0% from September's -33.0% reading. The reading matched the -34.0% consensus. The print is running well below the 12-month average of -32.17%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged -33.5%, vs -40.0% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 37th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-34
Actual
-34
Consensus
-33
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.75 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: -33.25
Actual: -34
Error: +0.75
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Netherlands) was reported at -34% in October 2026. This matched the market consensus of -34% exactly. The reading fell from the previous value of -33%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -31.7%, ranging from -46% to -21% across 10 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -33.67%, up from the prior three at -40%. Volatility over the past year (σ 7.56%) is higher than the prior year (σ 4.01%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged -27.67%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.75%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 20, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Nov 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - NL
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About Consumer Confidence — Netherlands
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual -34 %, consensus -34 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): -33 %. Before that (Aug 2026): -34 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.46) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - NL Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:30 | NL | Business Confidence | 2.3 | 4.2 | 3 | 2.65 | Low |
| 05:30 | NL | Retail Sales YoY | 3.5 | 2.8 | 2.75 | Low | |
| 06:00 | NL | NEVI Manufacturing PMI | 55.6 | 54.9 | 54.60 | Low | |
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 05:30 | NL | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.60 | Medium | |