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| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Action |
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Retail Sales YoY (United States) was reported at 3.7 in April 2026. The reading beat the market consensus of 2.9 by 0.8, coming in above expectations. This represents an increase from the previous value of 3.2. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500) and positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Wednesday, April 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Export Prices YoY | 5.6 | 3.8 | 5.9 | 5.75 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Import Prices MoM | 0.8 | 0.9 | 2 | 1.82 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 11 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 4.05 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Export Prices MoM | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.55 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Import Prices YoY | 2.1 | 1 | 2 | 1.95 | Low | |
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 34 | 38 | 37 | 35.50 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -3.122 | -3.144 | -2.4 | -2.76 | Low | |
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -0.913 | 3.081 | 0.2 | -0.36 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | -6.328 | -1.589 | -2.1 | -4.21 | Medium | |
| 20:00 | Net Long-Term TIC Flows | 58.6 | 2.4 | 36.6 | 47.60 | Medium | |
| Thursday, April 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 207 | 219 | 215 | 208.75 | High | |
| 12:30 | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | 26.7 | 18.1 | 10 | 17.82 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1818 | 1794 | 1810 | 1810.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 209.75 | 209.5 | 218 | 213.44 | High | |
| 13:15 | Capacity Utilization | 75.7 | 76.3 | 76.3 | 76.22 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production MoM | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.15 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Industrial Production MoM | -0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.03 | Medium | |
| 13:15 | Industrial Production YoY | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.35 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production YoY | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 1.63 | Low | |
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 59 | 50 | 55 | 60.75 | Low | |