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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FinlandFinland GDP Growth Rate QoQ climbed to 0.5% in Q3 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased October 2026
Finland GDP Growth Rate QoQ climbed to 0.5% in Q3 2026, released October 2026, up 0.1% from June's 0.4% reading. The print exceeded the 0.1% consensus by 0.4%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.28%. The reading is in the 74th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.5
Actual
0.1
Consensus
0.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.3 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: -0.15
Actual: 0.5
Error: -0.65
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.56 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Finland) was reported at 0.5% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.1% by 0.4%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.49%, ranging from -0.3% to 0.9% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.6%, down from the prior three at 0.63%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.38%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.23%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.3%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate QoQ - FI
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About GDP Growth Rate QoQ — Finland
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Quarter over Quarter) is a key economic indicator that measures the percentage change in a country's gross domestic product from one quarter to the next. It provides valuable insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as well as its short-term growth trajectory. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current state of the economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2014): actual 0.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.56) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - FI Events
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | FI | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 3.1 | 3.10 | Low | |
| 06:00 | FI | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | |