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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FinlandFinland Gross Domestic Product QoQ fell to 0.4% in Q2 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Finland Gross Domestic Product QoQ fell to 0.4% in Q2 2026, released August 2026, down 0.4% from March's 0.8% reading. The reading missed the 0.9% consensus by 0.5%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.23%. Gross Domestic Product QoQ is now the lowest in 6 months.
Latest Release
0.4
Actual
0.9
Consensus
0.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.2 percentage points
across last 7 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 0.9
Actual: 0.4
Error: +0.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.49 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Finland) was reported at 0.4% in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 0.9% by 0.5%. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.4%, ranging from -0.3% to 0.9% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.73%, up from the prior three at 0.23%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.43%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.18%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). Over the last 7 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.2%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product QoQ - FI
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About Gross Domestic Product QoQ — Finland
DEFINITION
Finland's Gross Domestic Product QoQ rose 0.400000% in Q2 2026, missing the 0.900000% estimate and down from Q1's 0.800000%. The slowdown from the previous quarter signals a deceleration in economic growth momentum. Market participants will watch upcoming data for confirmation of this trend amid steady central bank policy. Updated 8/28/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 0.4 %, consensus 0.9 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 0.9 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 0.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.49) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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