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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FinlandFinland Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 1.8% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Finland Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 1.8% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.9% from May's 2.7% reading. The reading missed the 2.2% consensus by 0.4%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.37%. Over the past 3 months, Gross Domestic Product YoY averaged 1.95%, vs 0.5% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 87th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.8
Actual
2.2
Consensus
2.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.57 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 3.25
Actual: 1.8
Error: +1.45
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.66 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.52 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Finland) was reported at 1.8% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 2.2% by 0.4%. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.46%, ranging from -0.5% to 2.8% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.9%, up from the prior three at -0.03%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.97%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.63%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, positively correlated (Bullish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.58%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 28, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - FI
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Finland
DEFINITION
Finland's Gross Domestic Product YoY came in at 1.800000% for June, missing the 2.200000% estimate and down from May's 2.700000%. The slowdown from May to June signals a deceleration in economic growth momentum. Market focus will remain on upcoming data releases and central bank commentary amid this cooling trend. Updated 7/30/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 1.8 %, consensus 2.2 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 2.8 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 1.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.66) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - FI Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 | FI | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.65 | Low |
| 05:00 | FI | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | -0.4 | 0.3 | 0.25 | Low |