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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FinlandFinland Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 1.4% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Finland Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 1.4% in July 2026, released August 2026, down 0.4% from June's 1.8% reading. The reading missed the 1.6% consensus by 0.2%. Gross Domestic Product YoY has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Gross Domestic Product YoY averaged 2.3%, vs 0.83% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 83rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.4
Actual
1.6
Consensus
1.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.7 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 2.03
Actual: 1.4
Error: +0.63
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Finland) was reported at 1.4% in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1.6% by 0.2%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.59%, ranging from -0.5% to 2.8% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2%, up from the prior three at 0.43%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.68%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.7%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 30, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - FI
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Finland
DEFINITION
Finland's Gross Domestic Product YoY rose to 1.600000% in August, up from July's 1.800000%, indicating a slight deceleration in annual growth. The economy expanded compared to June's 2.800000%, but the pace slowed month-over-month. Market focus now shifts to upcoming data releases and central bank signals amid this moderated growth. Updated 8/28/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 1.6 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 1.8 %. Before that (May 2026): 2.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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