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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FinlandFinland Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 2.8% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Finland Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 2.8% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 0.4% from April's 2.4% reading. The print exceeded the 0.7% consensus by 2.1%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.31%. Over the past 3 months, Gross Domestic Product YoY averaged 1.2%, vs -0.03% in the prior 3-month window. Gross Domestic Product YoY is now the highest in 16 months.
Latest Release
2.8
Actual
0.7
Consensus
2.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.51 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 0.7
Actual: 2.8
Error: -2.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.58 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.57 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.41 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Finland) was reported at 2.8% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.7% by 2.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.28%, ranging from -0.5% to 2.8% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.33%, up from the prior three at 0.03%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.89%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.42%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, positively correlated (Bullish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.51%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - FI
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Finland
DEFINITION
Finland's Gross Domestic Product YoY surged to 2.800000% in June, well above the 0.700000% estimate and up from May's 1.100000%. This marks a strong acceleration in annual growth, reversing the modest pace seen in the prior month. Market focus will remain on upcoming data releases to assess if this momentum sustains amid evolving economic conditions. Updated 7/2/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 2.8 %, consensus 0.7 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 1.1 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 1.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.58) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - FI Events
| Tuesday, July 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 | FI | Unemployment Rate | 10 | 12.7 | 11.2 | 10.88 | Low |