Loading page content
Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.
Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone
Forecast batch: 9/14/26
EUR/JPY's calibrated band puts the expected move at ±1.6% over 7 days, widening to ±3.2% over 28. Each horizon's current status is below.
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: 6-Month Bubill Auction (r=+0.97), Eurozone HICP All Items YoY (r=+0.91), France HICP All Items YoY (r=+0.89), Eurozone Core HICP Ex Energy Food YoY (r=+0.86), Jibun Bank Composite PMI (r=+0.81)
Inversely correlated: Construction PMI (r=-0.84), HCOB Construction PMI (r=-0.84), Gross Domestic Product QoQ (r=-0.77)
As of September 14, 2026, EUR/JPY is trading at 178.5766. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this forex pair generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
The EUR/JPY forex pair tracks the exchange rate between the Euro and the Japanese Yen. The EUR/JPY pair closed at 178.58 on September 14, 2026, reflecting a gain of 0.76% from the previous close of 177.22.
Over the past 30 days, the pair has experienced a modest downtrend with a decline of 3.13%, ranging between 176.89 and 186.03. The price currently trades below its 20-day moving average of 181.77. The 14-day RSI stands at 33.0, in the lower part of its range. Among macroeconomic indicators in our coverage, 6 Month Bubill Auction shows the strongest historical relationship with this instrument, positively correlated (r = +0.97).
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 0.47%, reflecting subdued price variability for this pair. Across the past 52 weeks, the pair has traded between 176.89 and 187.96, with the current price near the low end of that range.
Daily-return volatility of 0.47% runs elevated for this pair, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. EUR/JPY is currently trading 1.76% below its 20-day moving average and sitting in the lower portion of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 33.0, currently in neutral territory. For cross-confirmation, the 6 Month Bubill Auction indicator carries the strongest historical correlation with EUR/JPY (r = +0.97) and is worth watching for context.
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Sep 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.