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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance GDP Growth Rate QoQ climbed to 0.0% in Q2 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased August 2026
France GDP Growth Rate QoQ climbed to 0.0% in Q2 2026, released August 2026, up 0.2% from March's -0.2% reading. The reading missed the 0.2% consensus by 0.2%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.18%. The reading is in the 25th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0
Actual
0.2
Consensus
-0.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.09 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 0.2
Actual: 0
Error: +0.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.77 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.74 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.69 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| CAC 40 | ▲ Direct | +0.67 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.58 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate QoQ (France) was reported at 0% in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 0.2% by 0.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.21%, ranging from -0.1% to 0.5% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.03%, down from the prior three at 0.3%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.21%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.19%). In August readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate QoQ has averaged 0.17%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Euro STOXX 50 (Bullish Euro STOXX 50). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish DAX). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.09%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep 23) and S&P Global Services PMI (Sep 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate QoQ - FR
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About GDP Growth Rate QoQ — France
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Quarter over Quarter) is a key economic indicator that measures the percentage change in a country's gross domestic product from one quarter to the next. It provides valuable insight into the overall health and growth of the economy, and is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions. A positive GDP Growth Rate QoQ indicates a growing economy, while a negative rate suggests a decline. This indicator is an important tool for assessing the current state and predicting future trends of a country's economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 0.2 %, consensus 0.2 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 0.2 %. Before that (Jan 2026): -0.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Euro STOXX 50 (Bullish Euro STOXX 50, r=0.77) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - FR Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.80 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.40 | Low |