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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance Gross Domestic Product QoQ climbed to 0.0% in Q2 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
France Gross Domestic Product QoQ climbed to 0.0% in Q2 2026, released August 2026, up 0.2% from March's -0.2% reading. The reading missed the 0.2% consensus by 0.2%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.18%. The reading is in the 23rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0
Actual
0.2
Consensus
-0.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.07 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 0.2
Actual: 0
Error: +0.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.56 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.53 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product QoQ (France) was reported at 0% in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 0.2% by 0.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.21%, ranging from -0.1% to 0.5% across 7 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.03%, down from the prior three at 0.3%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/GBP (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, negatively correlated (Bearish DAX). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.08%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep 23) and S&P Global Services PMI (Sep 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product QoQ - FR
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About Gross Domestic Product QoQ — France
DEFINITION
France's Gross Domestic Product QoQ for July came in at 0.000000%, missing the 0.20% estimate. This follows June's 0.20% growth, marking a halt in expansion after a positive reading. The zero growth reading signals stagnation, likely influencing market expectations and monetary policy considerations. Updated 8/28/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 0 %, consensus 0.2 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 0 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 0 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/GBP (Bullish EUR, r=0.56) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - FR Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.80 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.40 | Low |