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France Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY climbed to 2.5 in April 2026, released May 2026, up 0.5 from March's 2.0 reading. The reading matched expectations. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.1. Over the past 3 months, Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY averaged 1.5, vs 0.7 in the prior 3-month window. Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY is now the highest in 18 months.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.44 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | INDEX | Bullish FTSE 100 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The May 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 2. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.06. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/GBP (Bullish EUR) and positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500).
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