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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance Household Consumption MoM climbed to 0.5% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
France Household Consumption MoM climbed to 0.5% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 1.0% from April's -0.5% reading. The print exceeded the 0.2% consensus by 0.3%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -0.02%. Over the past 3 months, Household Consumption MoM averaged 0.1%, vs -0.45% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 83rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.5
Actual
0.2
Consensus
-0.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.39 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 0
Actual: 0.5
Error: -0.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAC 40 | ▼ Inverse | −0.68 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.55 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.54 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.41 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▼ Inverse | −0.41 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Household Consumption MoM (France) was reported at 0.5% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.2% by 0.3%. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.06%, ranging from -1.4% to 0.6% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -0.47%, down from the prior three at -0.13%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.59%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.46%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Household Consumption MoM has averaged 0.73%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with CAC 40 (Bearish CAC 40). A secondary relationship exists with FTSE 100, negatively correlated (Bearish FTSE 100). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.39%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Jul 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Household Consumption MoM - FR
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About Household Consumption MoM — France
DEFINITION
Household Consumption MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the amount of goods and services purchased by households in a given month. It provides valuable insights into consumer spending patterns and overall economic activity. A positive change in this indicator indicates an increase in consumer confidence and a potential boost to economic growth, while a negative change may signal a decrease in consumer spending and potential economic slowdown. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, businesses, and investors as it can impact financial markets and inform decision-making.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 0.5 %, consensus 0.2 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): -0.5 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 0.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with CAC 40 (Bearish CAC 40, r=-0.68) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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