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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 1.1% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
France Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 1.1% in July 2026, released August 2026, up 1.5% from June's -0.4% reading. The print exceeded the 0.6% consensus by 0.5%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.05%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged -0.45%, vs -0.1% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 89th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.1
Actual
0.6
Consensus
-0.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.29 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 0.1
Actual: 1.1
Error: -1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.41 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| CAC 40 | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (France) was reported at 1.1% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.6% by 0.5%. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.06%, ranging from -2.1% to 1.1% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.07%, up from the prior three at -0.6%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.83%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.65%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.29%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep 23) and S&P Global Services PMI (Sep 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - FR
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About Producer Price Index MoM — France
DEFINITION
France's Producer Price Index MoM rose 1.100000% in August, beating the 0.600000% estimate and reversing July's -0.600000% decline. August's increase follows a contraction in July, signaling a sharp rebound in producer prices. Market focus will shift to upcoming inflation data and ECB policy decisions amid this volatility. Updated 8/27/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 1.1 %, consensus 0.6 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): -0.6 %. Before that (May 2026): -0.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.41) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - FR Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.80 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.40 | Low |