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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 1.7% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
France Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 1.7% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 0.7% from August's 1.0% reading. The print exceeded the 0.5% consensus by 1.2%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.21%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged 1.05%, vs -1.0% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 93rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.7
Actual
0.5
Consensus
1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.37 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 0.78
Actual: 1.7
Error: -0.92
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.25 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (France) was reported at 1.7% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.5% by 1.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.18%, ranging from -2.1% to 1.7% across 12 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.27%, up from the prior three at -1%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.96%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.54%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.37%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 27, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Industrial Production MoM (Nov 5) and Balance of Trade (Nov 6).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - FR
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About Producer Price Index MoM — France
DEFINITION
France's Producer Price Index MoM surged to 1.700000% in October, well above the 0.500000% estimate and up from September's 1.000000%. This marks a significant acceleration in producer price inflation, indicating rising cost pressures in the manufacturing sector. Markets will closely watch upcoming inflation data and central bank signals for potential policy adjustments. Updated 10/30/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 1.7 %, consensus 0.5 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 1 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 1.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.42) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - FR Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | FR | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | -0.1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.00 | High |
| 06:30 | FR | GDP Growth Rate YoY | -0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.10 | High |
| 06:30 | FR | Household Consumption MoM | -0.5 | -0.5 | 0.1 | -0.20 | Low |
| 06:30 | FR | Consumer Spending MoM | -0.5 | -0.5 | 0.1 | -0.20 | Medium |
| 07:45 | FR | Producer Price Index MoM | 1.7 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.10 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.30 | Medium |
| 07:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.8 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.70 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Producer Price Index YoY | 6.8 | 4.9 | 5.4 | 6.10 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Non-Farm Payrolls QoQ | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.30 | High |