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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 3.4% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
France Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 3.4% in July 2026, released August 2026, up 0.6% from June's 2.8% reading. The print exceeded the 2.7% consensus by 0.7%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -0.19%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 2.8%, vs -0.03% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 18 months.
Latest Release
3.4
Actual
2.7
Consensus
2.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.39 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 2.28
Actual: 3.4
Error: -1.12
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (France) was reported at 3.4% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 2.7% by 0.7%. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.05%, ranging from -3.3% to 3.4% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3%, up from the prior three at -0.87%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.3%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.86%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.39%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep 23) and S&P Global Services PMI (Sep 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - FR
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About Producer Price Index YoY — France
DEFINITION
France's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 3.4% in August, beating the 2.7% estimate and up from July's 2.6%. This marks a clear acceleration in producer price inflation, reversing the prior month's slower pace. Markets will closely watch upcoming inflation data and ECB policy signals amid this upward trend. Updated 8/27/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 3.4 %, consensus 2.7 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 2.6 %. Before that (May 2026): 3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - FR Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.80 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.40 | Low |