Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 2.1% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
France Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 2.1% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 2.1% from March's 0.0% reading. The reading missed the 5.6% consensus by 3.5%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged -1.5%, vs -2.65% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 15 months.
Latest Release
2.1
Actual
5.6
Consensus
0
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.57 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 5.6
Actual: 2.1
Error: +3.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.47 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (France) was reported at 2.1% in May 2026. This missed the market consensus of 5.6% by 3.5%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.7%, ranging from -3.3% to 2.1% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.87%, up from the prior three at -2.03%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.58%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Jun 23) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jun 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
SHARE
Producer Price Index YoY - FR
Loading chart data...
About Producer Price Index YoY — France
DEFINITION
France's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 2.1% in May, sharply beating the 5.6% estimate and reversing April's 0.2% reading. This marks a significant rebound from the prior months of contraction, including March's -2.4% and February's -2.3%. The unexpected surge may influence market expectations and monetary policy discussions ahead of upcoming inflation data. Updated 5/28/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 2.1 %, consensus 5.6 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 0.2 %. Before that (Feb 2026): -2.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.47) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.