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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 6.8% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
France Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 6.8% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 1.9% from August's 4.9% reading. The print exceeded the 5.4% consensus by 1.4%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 4.1%, vs 2.57% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 20 months.
Latest Release
6.8
Actual
5.4
Consensus
4.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.47 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 4.25
Actual: 4.8
Error: -0.55
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (France) was reported at 6.8% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 5.4% by 1.4%. The reading rose from the previous value of 4.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.47%, ranging from -3.3% to 4.8% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 3.6%, up from the prior three at 0.9%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.68%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.84%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/JPY (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.48%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 27, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Industrial Production MoM (Nov 5) and Balance of Trade (Nov 6).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - FR
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About Producer Price Index YoY — France
DEFINITION
France's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 4.800000% in September, beating the 4.100000% estimate and up from August's 3.400000%. This marks a significant acceleration in producer inflation compared to the prior month. Markets will closely watch upcoming inflation data and central bank signals amid this upward trend. Updated 9/30/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 6.8 %, consensus 5.4 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 4.8 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 3.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/JPY (Bearish EUR, r=-0.48) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - FR Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | FR | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | -0.1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.00 | High |
| 06:30 | FR | GDP Growth Rate YoY | -0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.10 | High |
| 06:30 | FR | Household Consumption MoM | -0.5 | -0.5 | 0.1 | -0.20 | Low |
| 06:30 | FR | Consumer Spending MoM | -0.5 | -0.5 | 0.1 | -0.20 | Medium |
| 07:45 | FR | Producer Price Index MoM | 1.7 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.75 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.33 | Medium |
| 07:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.40 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.8 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.73 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Producer Price Index YoY | 6.8 | 4.9 | 5.4 | 5.73 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Non-Farm Payrolls QoQ | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.33 | High |