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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Hong Kong SARHong Kong SAR GDP growth (annual %) climbed to 3.22 Percentage (%) in January 2023
World BankYearlyReleased January 2023
Hong Kong SAR GDP growth (annual %) climbed to 3.22 Percentage (%) in January 2023, up 6.9 Percentage (%) from December's -3.68 Percentage (%) reading.
Latest Release
3.22
Latest (2023)
-3.68
Previous
World Bank
Source
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth (Annual %) (Hong Kong) was reported at 3.49 Percent in December 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.63 Percent. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.09 Percent, up from the prior three at -1.26 Percent. In December readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth (Annual %) has averaged 3.09 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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GDP growth (annual %) - HK
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About GDP growth (annual %) — Hong Kong SAR
DEFINITION
Hong Kong's GDP Growth (Annual %) for 2025 came in at 3.487649%, surpassing last year's 2.629369% recorded in 2024. This acceleration marks a continued economic expansion following the 3.150345% growth in 2023. Market participants will monitor upcoming data for signs of sustained momentum amid evolving global conditions. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - HK Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:30 | HK | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 4.3 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 5.28 | Low |
| 08:30 | HK | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 4.3 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 5.28 | Low |
| 08:30 | HK | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | -0.6 | 2.9 | -0.3 | -0.45 | Low |
| 08:30 | HK | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | -0.6 | 2.9 | -0.3 | 0.00 | Low |
| Tuesday, August 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | HK | Retail Sales YoY | 4.8 | 3.4 | 6.40 | Low | |