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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
HungaryHungary Producer Price Index YoY fell to 0.3% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Hungary Producer Price Index YoY fell to 0.3% in April 2026, released May 2026, down 0.9% from March's 1.2% reading. The reading missed the 1.8% consensus by 1.5%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 1.65%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged -1.05%, vs -3.0% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 28th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.3
Actual
1.8
Consensus
1.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.98 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 1.55
Actual: 0.3
Error: +1.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | INDEX | Bullish FTSE 100 | → View |
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | INDEX | Bearish DAX | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Hungary) was reported at 0.3% in May 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1.8% by 1.5%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1%, ranging from -3.4% to 6.9% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -1.97%, down from the prior three at -1.43%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with FTSE 100, positively correlated (Bullish FTSE 100). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.98%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 30, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - HU
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Hungary
DEFINITION
Hungary's Producer Price Index YoY came in at 0.300000% for April, missing the 1.800000% estimate and down from March's 1.200000%. This marks a significant deceleration in producer price inflation, indicating easing cost pressures in the economy. Market focus will remain on upcoming inflation data and central bank signals amid this slowdown. Updated 5/29/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 0.3 %, consensus 1.8 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 1.2 %. Before that (Feb 2026): -3.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.