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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
HungaryHungary Producer Price Index YoY climbed to -0.4% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Hungary Producer Price Index YoY climbed to -0.4% in June 2026, released July 2026, up 0.3% from May's -0.7% reading. The print exceeded the -1.0% consensus by 0.6%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.38%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 0.27%, vs -3.1% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 31st percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-0.4
Actual
-1
Consensus
-0.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.06 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: -1.8
Actual: -0.4
Error: -1.4
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Hungary) was reported at -0.4% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of -1% by 0.6%. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.19%, ranging from -3.4% to 4.5% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.27%, up from the prior three at -3.2%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.58%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.25%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with FTSE 100, positively correlated (Bullish FTSE 100). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.06%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 31, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - HU
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Hungary
DEFINITION
Hungary's Producer Price Index YoY for July came in at -0.400000%, beating the estimate of -1.000000% and improving from June's -0.700000%. The data shows a narrowing decline in producer prices year-over-year, signaling a slower contraction compared to the previous month. Market participants will watch upcoming inflation reports closely amid this easing trend. Updated 7/31/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -0.4 %, consensus -1 %. Prior reading (May 2026): -0.7 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 0.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.40) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - HU Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | HU | Producer Price Index YoY | -0.4 | -0.7 | -1 | -0.05 | Low |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | HU | HALPIM Manufacturing PMI | 51.5 | 51.3 | 51.55 | Low | |