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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
HungaryHungary Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 6.9% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Hungary Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 6.9% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 2.1% from August's 4.8% reading. The print exceeded the 5.0% consensus by 1.9%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 5 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 2.9%, vs 0.1% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 16 months.
Latest Release
6.9
Actual
5
Consensus
4.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.22 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 5.72
Actual: 6.9
Error: -1.18
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Hungary) was reported at 6.9% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 5% by 1.9%. The reading rose from the previous value of 4.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.32%, ranging from -3.4% to 6.9% across 12 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 4.23%, up from the prior three at -0.27%. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.14%) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.12%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with DAX (Bearish DAX). A secondary relationship exists with Euro STOXX 50, negatively correlated (Bearish Euro STOXX 50). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.22%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - HU
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Hungary
DEFINITION
Hungary's Producer Price Index YoY surged to 6.900000% in October, well above the 5.000000% estimate and up from September's 4.800000%. This sharp acceleration signals rising input costs and sustained inflationary pressures in the manufacturing sector. Market participants will watch for central bank responses amid this notable inflation uptick. Updated 10/29/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 6.9 %, consensus 5 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 4.8 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with DAX (Bearish DAX, r=-0.48) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - HU Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:30 | HU | Producer Price Index YoY | 6.9 | 4.8 | 5 | 5.63 | Low |
| 07:30 | HU | Balance of Trade | 907 | 46 | -480.9 | 213.05 | Low |
| 07:30 | HU | Balance of Trade MoM | 907 | -481 | -480.9 | 213.05 | Low |
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:30 | HU | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.65 | Low |
| 07:30 | HU | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.25 | Low |